Cerrado Gold Inc (CERT) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$239M
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from C$3.68 to C$1.78 (−51.6%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −15.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range C$0.6758 – C$2.43 · fair‑value band C$1.30 – C$2.25 · the C$1.70 price screens below the C$1.78 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Cerrado Gold Inc (CERT) currently trades at C$1.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$1.78 — implying the stock looks roughly 4.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Cerrado Gold Inc generated revenue of C$171M at a net margin of -2.0%. Revenue grew 84.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.0%. Net debt stands at C$16.1M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Cerrado Gold Inc. operates as a gold mining and exploration company in Argentina and Canada. The company also explores for zinc, copper, lead, tin, silver, gold, iron, and vanadium deposits. It owns 100% interests in the Minera Don Nicolas project covering an area of approximately 333,400 hectares located in the Santa Cruz province of Argentina; and the Mont Sorcier iron and vanadium project covering an area of approximately 1,919 hectares located near Chibougamau, Quebec in Canada. The company also holds an interest in the Lagoa Salgada volcanogenic sulphide project, focused on polymetallic resources. Cerrado Gold Inc. is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cerrado Gold Inc reported revenue of C$147M in FY2025 versus C$70.1M in FY2021, a compound +20.4%/yr. Reported net income was −C$20.4M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
6 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $186.78 | +67% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥27.70 | ¥39.42 | +42% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | $166.85 | $222.49 | +33% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $37.19 | $70.51 | +90% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp SII | €105.35 | €52.47 | -50% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $86.23 | $88.63 | +3% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.