Barrick Mining Corporation (B) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $58.7B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $50.66 to $17.73 (−65.0%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +12.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 57% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($36.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($13.06 to $36.11). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $11.28 – $52.32 · fair‑value band $13.06 – $36.11 · the $41.37 price screens above the $17.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Barrick Mining Corporation (B) currently trades at $41.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.73, implying the stock looks roughly 57.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Barrick Mining Corporation generated revenue of $19.0B at a net margin of 32.1%. Revenue grew 66.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $13.06 (bear case) to $36.11 (bull case); at $41.37, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 114% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at -57%, B screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($84.49) versus Dividend Discount ($8.55). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Barrick Mining Corporation engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of mineral properties. It explores for gold, copper, silver, and energy materials. The company was formerly known as Barrick Gold Corporation and changed its name to Barrick Mining Corporation in May 2025.
Full company description
Barrick Mining Corporation engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of mineral properties. It explores for gold, copper, silver, and energy materials. The company was formerly known as Barrick Gold Corporation and changed its name to Barrick Mining Corporation in May 2025. Barrick Mining Corporation was founded in 1983 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Barrick Mining Corporation reported revenue of $17.0B in FY2025 versus $12.0B in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was $5.0B in FY2025, compounding +25.4%/yr from FY2021.
B screens 57% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Barrick Mining (B) Is Preparing a Major Gold Asset Spin-Off. What Investors Should Know
- Kingfisher Announces Closing of Strategic Investment from Barrick
- Barrick evacuates stranded workers after Chile storms
- Barrick (B) Stock May Be 15% Overvalued On Cash Flow Concerns
Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
| Pan American Silver Corp PAAS | C$58.54 | C$40.15 | -31% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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