AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $38.6B
AngloGold Ashanti plc
AU · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +6.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 14% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from $56.50 (bear) to $94.16 (bull), base $75.34. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 64/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.95 – $124.62 · fair‑value band $56.50 – $94.16 · the $87.59 price screens above the $75.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) currently trades at $87.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $75.34, implying the stock looks roughly 14.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, AngloGold Ashanti plc generated revenue of $11.2B at a net margin of 31.1%. Revenue grew 64.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 43.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $492M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $56.50 (bear case) to $94.16 (bull case); at $87.59, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 113% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at -14%, AU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($112.18) versus Asset-Based ($10.72). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold, as well as by-products, including silver and sulphuric acid. The company's flagship property includes 100% owned the Geita mine located in the Lake Victoria goldfields of the Geita region in northwestern Tanzania.
Full company description
AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold, as well as by-products, including silver and sulphuric acid. The company's flagship property includes 100% owned the Geita mine located in the Lake Victoria goldfields of the Geita region in northwestern Tanzania. AngloGold Ashanti plc was incorporated in 1944 and is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AngloGold Ashanti plc reported revenue of $9.9B in FY2025 versus $4.0B in FY2021, a compound +25.2%/yr. Reported net income was $2.6B in FY2025, compounding +43.9%/yr from FY2021.
AU screens 14% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- AngloGold reports 58% rise in Q2 2026 headline earnings
- Did AngloGold Ashanti’s (AU) Earnings Surge, Buyback, and Dividend Hike Just Recast Its Investment Narrative?
- Anglogold Ashanti PLC (AU) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Cash Generation and $2 ...
Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
| Pan American Silver Corp PAAS | C$58.54 | C$40.15 | -31% |
Compare AngloGold Ashanti plc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of AU?
What is the quality score of AU?
What is the revenue of AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU)?
What is the net profit margin of AU?
Does AngloGold Ashanti plc pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track AngloGold Ashanti plc and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.