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CGN Resources Ltd (CGR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of CGN Resources Ltd A$0.08, price A$0.06, upside +47.9%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU000000CGR0

CR Thin data Sep 24, 2026

CGN Resources Ltd

CGR · AU

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value A$0.0828 · Undervalued (+48%)
!Quality 40/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −66.8 %/yr)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/7)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.4650 A$0.0355 Fair Value A$0.0828 Aug 2010 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0355 – A$0.4650 · fair‑value band A$0.0717 – A$0.0941 · the A$0.0560 price screens below the A$0.0828 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

CGN Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of minerals projects in Australia. It explores for copper, nickel, gold, and specialty metals deposits. The company's flagship project is the Webb Project located in the Aileron province of the West Arunta Orogen.

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CGN Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of minerals projects in Australia. It explores for copper, nickel, gold, and specialty metals deposits. The company's flagship project is the Webb Project located in the Aileron province of the West Arunta Orogen. CGN Resources Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

CGN Resources Ltd (CGR) currently trades at A$0.0560, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0828, implying the stock looks roughly 32.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0717 (bear) to A$0.0941 (bull), the price of A$0.0560 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

CGN Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$190K in FY2025 versus A$47.5M in FY2019, a compound −60.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$10.6M (≈ $7.5M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0200 · Return on equity −58.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −219% · Operating margin 1,946% · Revenue (TTM) −A$126K · Revenue growth (YoY) −48.8% · EPS growth (YoY) −54.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 48%, CGR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0717 Fair Value A$0.0828 Bull A$0.0941
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0200 A$0.0300 55
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0200 A$0.0300 55

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−66.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −49.1% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
33.6% (2020) → −1,582.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 459 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Above median
Fair Value upside +48% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −34% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −49% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 30.80× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.89× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)97 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.87 −30%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 62.70 SAR 68.97 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.81 ¥21.74 +22%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$16.85 A$34.49 +105%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥60.26 ¥31.23 −48%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹590.50 ₹649.55 +10%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%

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A$0.0828 +32%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CGN Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CGR

Frequently asked questions

Is CGN Resources Ltd (CGR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0828 versus a price of A$0.0560, about +48% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CGR?
Our model-based fair value for CGN Resources Ltd is A$0.0828 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0560.
What is the quality score of CGR?
CGN Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CGN Resources Ltd (CGR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0828 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0717, optimistic scenario A$0.0941. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CGN Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0828, about +48% upside versus a price of A$0.0560 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0717, optimistic scenario A$0.0941. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of CGN Resources Ltd (CGR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CGN Resources Ltd it is A$0.0828 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.0560. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CGN Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CGR trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0560, fair value A$0.0828, a gap of about +48% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CGR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0560); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0828). For CGN Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0268 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CGN Resources Ltd worth?
The market values CGN Resources Ltd at about A$10.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0560; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0828 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CGR?
Our models span a range for CGN Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0717, base A$0.0828, optimistic A$0.0941 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price A$0.0560). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of CGN Resources Ltd (CGR)?
Balance-sheet figures for CGN Resources Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −58.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CGR from its 52-week high?
CGN Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0560, about 47% below its 52-week high of A$0.1050 and 30% above the low of A$0.0430 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0828 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CGN Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Fortescue Ltd, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CGN Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price A$0.0560, calculated fair value A$0.0828 (+48%), Quality Score 40/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CGR calculated?
We run CGN Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0828, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. CGN Resources Ltd currently trades 48 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CGN Resources Ltd (CGR)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was A$0.0560. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0828, about +48% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CGN Resources Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0717). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of CGN Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of CGN Resources Ltd (CGR)?
The market capitalisation of CGN Resources Ltd is A$10.6M (≈ $7.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of CGN Resources Ltd (CGR)?
Earnings per share at CGN Resources Ltd are A$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of CGN Resources Ltd (CGR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CGN Resources Ltd is −58.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CGN Resources Ltd (CGR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CGN Resources Ltd is −219% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CGN Resources Ltd (CGR)?
The operating margin of CGN Resources Ltd is 1,946% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does CGN Resources Ltd (CGR) generate?
CGN Resources Ltd generates revenue of −A$126K (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at CGN Resources Ltd (CGR)?
Revenue at CGN Resources Ltd is growing −48.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −84.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CGN Resources Ltd (CGR)?
Earnings per share at CGN Resources Ltd are growing −54.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does CGN Resources Ltd (CGR) generate?
The free cash flow of CGN Resources Ltd is −A$3.4M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does CGN Resources Ltd (CGR) carry?
The net debt of CGN Resources Ltd is A$147M (fiscal year 2020). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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