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Chemring Group (CMGMF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $1.8B

Price$6.64
Fair Value$4.54
Upside-31.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $3.18 – $5.91

Analysis

Chemring Group (CMGMF) currently trades at $6.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.54 — implying the stock looks roughly 31.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Chemring Group PLC provides countermeasures, sensors, information, and energy products in the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe, the Asia pacific, and internationally. The company offers sensors and information products, such as point chemical detectors, sensors, JSLSCAD, and I-SCAD; R Visor, 3D radars, husky mounted detection system, groundshark, MDS-10, and groundhunters; resolve, locate, LOCATE-T, and viper products; and advisory, research, and design and engineering services. It also provides countermeasures and energetics products, including aerodynamic and countermeasure flare; chaf cart and pack; seduction and distraction cart; initiator, separation and explosive bolts, nuts, thrusters, cutters, and pin pullers and pushers; pressure cartridges, initiators, actuators, retractors and systems, time delay devices, ejection handles and sequencers, gas generators, cutters, canopy remover thruster, and thermal battery; wing, fin, elevon deployment actuators, wing and tail re…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.