The Brink's Company (BCO) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $4.3B
The Brink's Company
BCO · US
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price +8.1% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($70.54 to $127.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $46.49 – $135.25 · fair‑value band $70.54 – $127.29 · the $112.19 price screens above the $101.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
The Brink's Company (BCO) currently trades at $112.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $101.84, implying the stock looks roughly 9.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Brink's Company generated revenue of $5.4B at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue grew 10.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 53.0%. Net debt stands at $2.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $70.54 (bear case) to $127.29 (bull case); at $112.19, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -9%, BCO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($117.02) versus Asset-Based ($4.52). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Brink's Company provides cash and valuables management, digital retail solutions (DRS), and automated teller machines (ATM) managed services in North America, Latin America, Europe, and internationally.
Full company description
The Brink's Company provides cash and valuables management, digital retail solutions (DRS), and automated teller machines (ATM) managed services in North America, Latin America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers cash-in-transit services, such as armored vehicle transportation of cash and coin; cash replenishment and treasury management of automated teller machines; international transportation, pick-up, packaging, customs clearance, secure vault storage, and inventory management of high-value commodities and goods; and counting, sorting, wrapping, check imaging, cashier balancing, counterfeit detection, account consolidation, and electronic reporting cash management services. It also provides vaulting services, including CIT services, cash management, vaulting, and electronic reporting technologies for banks; guarding, commercial security, and payment services; devices, software, analytics, and services for cash management needs, as well as services under the Complete and CompuSafe brands; and ATM management comprising cash forecasting, cash optimization, ATM remote monitoring, service call dispatching, transaction processing, first and second line maintenance, parts provisioning, funds settlements, and installation services. The company was formerly known as The Pittston Company and changed its name to The Brink's Company in May 2003. The Brink's Company was founded in 1859 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Brink's Company reported revenue of $5.3B in FY2025 versus $4.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was $200M in FY2025, compounding +17.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Brink's (BCO) Stock Looks Overvalued for Long Term Investors
- The Brink's Company Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary
- Brink's Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
- The Brink's Co (BCO) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Margins and Strategic Wins Fuel ...
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 348.40 | kr 269.97 | -23% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €10.26 | €12.40 | +21% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $137.24 | $127.80 | -7% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 162.10 | kr 186.34 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.57 | ¥23.58 | +42% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $169.00 | $118.51 | -30% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.06 | $17.10 | +142% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $90.16 | $73.43 | -19% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $29.46 | $32.36 | +10% |
| Loomis AB LOOMIS | kr 491.80 | kr 496.43 | +1% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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