Brinks Company (BCO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Brinks Company stock $121, price $110, upside +9.9%, quality 62 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $46.39 – $134.96 · fair‑value band $76.36 – $176.88 · the $110.25 price screens below the $121.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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The Brink's Company provides cash and valuables management, digital retail solutions (DRS), and automated teller machines (ATM) managed services in North America, Latin America, Europe, and internationally.
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The company offers cash-in-transit services, such as armored vehicle transportation of cash and coin; cash replenishment and treasury management of automated teller machines; international transportation, pick-up, packaging, customs clearance, secure vault storage, and inventory management of high-value commodities and goods; and counting, sorting, wrapping, check imaging, cashier balancing, counterfeit detection, account consolidation, and electronic reporting cash management services.
It also provides vaulting services, including CIT services, cash management, vaulting, and electronic reporting technologies for banks; guarding, commercial security, and payment services; devices, software, analytics, and services for cash management needs, as well as services under the Complete and CompuSafe brands; and ATM management comprising cash forecasting, cash optimization, ATM remote monitoring, service call dispatching, transaction processing, first and second line maintenance, parts provisioning, funds settlements, and installation services.
The company was formerly known as The Pittston Company and changed its name to The Brink's Company in May 2003. The Brink's Company was founded in 1859 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia
Stock analysis
Brinks Company (BCO) currently trades at $110.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $121.16, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $171.16 per share, and 12 of the 23 models we run sit above the $110.25 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $14.42, and 11 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $76.36 (bear) to $176.88 (bull), the price of $110.25 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Brinks Company reported revenue of $5.3B in FY2025 versus $4.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was $200M in FY2025, compounding +17.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $4.6B Mid · P/E ratio 24.4 · P/S ratio 0.84 · EPS (TTM) $4.51 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 3.3% · Return on equity 46.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.7% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 10%, BCO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$76.36Fair Value $121.16Bull$176.88
Price $110.25 · Upside +9.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.99 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
SaleMichael E SweeneyController1,418 shares at $119.50$169,451Dec 15, 202510b5-1 plan
Plus 6 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.6% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+48.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+47.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 52.9% / 21.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 11%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.5% a year for the price and +1.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Average durability with synergies expected from the NCR Atleos combination forms the main strength, while high leverage and thin evidence of operational resilience remain the key weakness.
Main risk: The required divestiture of the NoteMachine business could constrain overall gains from the NCR Atleos combination and limit expected cost synergies in cash and ATM operations.
The pending acquisition of NCR Atleos cleared a UK regulatory step after the CMA accepted the proposed divestiture of the NoteMachine business as a remedy. The transaction stays on track for an early 2027 close and the expected cost synergies from the combination remain intact. Will the combined cash and ATM operations create broader efficiencies and reach, or will the required UK sale constrain the overall gains?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 105 stocks
P/B16.48× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Brinks Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BCO
Frequently asked questions
Is Brinks Company (BCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $121.16 versus a price of $110.25, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BCO?
Our model-based fair value for Brinks Company is $121.16 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $110.25.
What is the quality score of BCO?
Brinks Company has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Brinks Company (BCO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $121.16 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $76.36, optimistic scenario $176.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Brinks Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $121.16, about +10% upside versus a price of $110.25 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $76.36, optimistic scenario $176.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Brinks Company (BCO)?
Brinks Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.5B (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Brinks Company pay a dividend?
Brinks Company currently shows a dividend yield of 0.93% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Brinks Company (BCO) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Brinks Company pays a dividend of $1.02 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.9%. The last ex-dividend date was Nov 2, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1990. The payout ratio is 21.1% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 22.6%). Free cash flow covers the dividend 10.39 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Brinks Company (BCO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Brinks Company would have to grow free cash flow by +3.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.4 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BCO use?
Our models discount Brinks Company at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.93, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Brinks Company that is +3.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Brinks Company (BCO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Brinks Company grew +7.4 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +3.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Brinks Company (BCO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Brinks Company (+3.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Brinks Company (BCO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.54 %: that much free cash flow Brinks Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Brinks Company (BCO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Brinks Company it is $121.16 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of $110.25. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Brinks Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, BCO trades below its calculated fair value: price $110.25, fair value $121.16, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BCO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($110.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($121.16). For Brinks Company the two are $10.91 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Brinks Company worth?
The market values Brinks Company at about $4.6B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is $110.25; our models calculate a fair value of $121.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BCO?
Our models span a range for Brinks Company: cautious scenario $76.36, base $121.16, optimistic $176.88 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price $110.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BCO?
Brinks Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.4 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $121.16 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 21.8 (reported for FY2025: 23.3). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), earnings ex one-offs: 31.0. Other multiples: PEG 1.2, P/B 16.5, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 6.9.
What is the PEG ratio of BCO?
The PEG ratio of Brinks Company is 1.16 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Brinks Company (BCO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Brinks Company (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 46.2%, debt of 13.72 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BCO from its 52-week high?
Brinks Company trades at $110.25, about 18% below its 52-week high of $134.96 and 20% above the low of $91.97 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $121.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Brinks Company?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, ADT Inc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Brinks Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price $110.25, calculated fair value $121.16 (+10%), Quality Score 62/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BCO calculated?
We run Brinks Company through 23 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $121.16 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Brinks Company currently trades 9% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Brinks Company (BCO)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $110.25. Our model-based fair value is $121.16, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Brinks Company right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($76.36 to $176.88) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Brinks Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Brinks Company (BCO)?
The market capitalisation of Brinks Company is $4.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Brinks Company (BCO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Brinks Company is 0.84 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Brinks Company (BCO)?
Earnings per share at Brinks Company are $4.51 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Brinks Company (BCO)?
The dividend yield of Brinks Company is 0.9% (payout 21.1%, on adjusted earnings, reported 22.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Brinks Company (BCO)?
The net margin of Brinks Company is 3.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Brinks Company (BCO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Brinks Company is 46.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Brinks Company (BCO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Brinks Company is 6.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Brinks Company (BCO)?
The operating margin of Brinks Company is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Brinks Company (BCO)?
Revenue at Brinks Company is growing +7.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Brinks Company (BCO)?
Earnings per share at Brinks Company are growing +4.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Brinks Company (BCO) carry?
The net debt of Brinks Company is $2.7B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 5, 2026