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Data-driven stock valuation

GE Aerospace (GE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what GE Aerospace is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Industrials · US · Market cap $370B · ISIN US3696043013

At a glance

GA GE Aerospace logo GE Aerospace GE · US
Price$337.12
Fair Value$116.71
Upside−65.4%
Quality73/100

A solid business, but trading 189% above our fair value of $116.71.

As of Sep 2, 2026, the fair value of GE Aerospace is $116.71 per share against a price of $337.12, so the fair value sits 65% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −9.6 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 17.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·0.46% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Wide moat 76/100
!Weak on dividend: 9 out of 100
Evidence: High Range $70.76 to $147.83

Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −11.6% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($147.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range ($70.76 to $147.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$381.22 $37.30 Fair Value $116.71 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $37.30 – $381.22 · fair‑value band $70.76 – $147.83 · the $337.12 price screens above the $116.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.

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Analysis

GE Aerospace (GE) currently trades at $337.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $116.71, implying the stock looks roughly 188.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $132.55 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $337.12 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $11.99, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, GE Aerospace generated revenue of $48.3B at a net margin of 17.9%. Revenue grew 24.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 45.4%. Net debt stands at $8.1B. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026

Scenario range: $70.76 (bear) to $147.83 (bull), the price of $337.12 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −65%, GE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($4.45 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $65.03 $95.18 $153.21 79
Growth DCF $68.68 $98.21 $150.76 78
Owner Earnings $78.62 $114.53 $183.64 75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $65.03 $95.18 $153.21 79
Owner Earnings $78.62 $114.53 $183.64 75
5Y Revenue Exit $52.17 $77.37 $113.96 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $70.48 $109.08 $160.22 75
5Y P/E Exit $90.95 $144.53 $208.43 70
10Y Revenue Exit $54.93 $74.52 $95.38 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $67.82 $94.59 $123.17 69
10Y P/E Exit $80.53 $117.02 $152.14 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $56.73 $69.34 $78.00 67
EPV $64.44 $76.90 $87.97 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $13.39 $14.72 $16.78 69
DDM Multi-Stage $13.39 $17.09 $22.43 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $131.39 $175.19 $218.99 63
P/S Multiple $65.93 $87.90 $109.88 58
P/B Multiple $60.42 $80.56 $100.69 55
EV/EBIT $101.02 $136.75 $172.47 66
EV/EBITDA $87.21 $118.33 $149.44 67
EV/Revenue $49.23 $72.96 $96.69 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.95 $11.99 $17.90 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $68.68 $98.21 $150.76 78
Rev-Margin DCF $52.17 $78.98 $112.04 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $78.69 $136.40 $2,930 64
ROIC Compounder $64.44 $79.75 $95.13 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $92.78 $132.55 $172.31 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($132.55) versus Asset-Based ($11.99). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 41.8
P/S ratio 7.93 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $8.06 price ÷ EPS = P/E 41.8
Dividend yield 0.5% payout 19.2%
Net margin 19.0% FY2025
Return on equity 45.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 20.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $48.3B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +24.7% 3y avg −15.7%
EPS growth (YoY) −1.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $7.3B FY2025
Net debt $8.1B FY2025 · ≈ 1.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

General Electric Company, doing business as GE Aerospace, designs and produces commercial and defense aircraft engines, integrated engine components, electric power, and aircraft systems. The company operates through two segments, Commercial Engines & Services, and Defense & Propulsion Technologies.

Full company description

General Electric Company, doing business as GE Aerospace, designs and produces commercial and defense aircraft engines, integrated engine components, electric power, and aircraft systems. The company operates through two segments, Commercial Engines & Services, and Defense & Propulsion Technologies. The Commercial Engines & Services segment designs, develops, manufactures, maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services of jet engines and sale of spare parts for commercial airframes, business aviation, and aeroderivative applications. The Defense & Propulsion Technologies designs, develops, manufactures, and services jet engines and avionics and power systems for governments, militaries, and commercial airframers, as well as MRO of engines and the sale of spare parts. This segment also offers aircraft components and systems, such as small turboprop engines, aeroengine mechanical transmissions, turbines, combustors and controls, additive manufacturing, propeller systems, ignition systems, sensors and engine accessories for fixed wing and rotorcraft applications for commercial and military end users under the Avio Aero, Unison, Dowty Propellers, and Colibrium Additive brands. The company operates in the United States, Europe, Asia, the Americas, the Middle East, and Africa. General Electric Company was incorporated in 1892 and is based in Evendale, Ohio.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GE Aerospace reported revenue of $45.9B in FY2025 versus $56.5B in FY2021, a compound −5.1%/yr. Reported net income was $8.7B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$45.9B
Latest YoY
+18.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+10.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+9.9%
Dividend yield0.5%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 9.4% vs 10Y −1.3%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0.5% (2020) → 19.1% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop376% (2018) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Revenue −5.1%/yr
FY21 $56.5B
FY22 $76.6B
FY23 $35.3B
FY24 $38.7B
FY25 $45.9B
Net income
FY21 −$6.3B
FY22 $292M
FY23 $9.5B
FY24 $6.6B
FY25 $8.7B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −2.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share −10.3 %

of which total revenue −11.3 % · buybacks/dilution +1.1 %

EBIT margin +3.2 %
Tax rate −1.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +7.2 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

GE screens 189% overvalued. Compare with RTX Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GE Aerospace Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GE

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 228 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −65% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 45% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.01× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 41.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 19.79× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 7.65× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 50.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 34.1× · Priciest 25%
PEG 8.51× · Priciest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must GE Aerospace deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+19.8 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years-9.6 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+4.6 %
FCF yield on price2.02 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models9.5 %

The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 49
PAST100 · sector 38
HEALTH50 · sector 93
DIVIDEND9 · sector 16

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
RTX Corporation RTX $200.79 $88.37 −56%
Airbus SE AIR €213.00 €117.01 −45%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $525.28 $419.01 −20%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $264.85 $50.43 −81%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $359.39 $274.32 −24%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $545.57 $356.59 −35%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,235 $571.03 −54%
L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX $262.82 $146.55 −44%
Thales S.A HO €243.70 €171.13 −30%
Rheinmetall AG RHM €1,034 €314.04 −70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is GE Aerospace (GE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $116.71 versus a price of $337.12, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GE?
Our model-based fair value for GE Aerospace is $116.71 (as of Sep 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $337.12.
What is the quality score of GE?
GE Aerospace has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GE Aerospace (GE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $116.71 (as of Sep 2, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $70.76, optimistic scenario $147.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GE Aerospace stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $116.71, about −65% upside versus a price of $337.12 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $70.76, optimistic scenario $147.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GE Aerospace (GE)?
GE Aerospace reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $48.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GE?
The net profit margin of GE Aerospace is about 17.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does GE Aerospace pay a dividend?
GE Aerospace currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.46% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into GE Aerospace (GE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GE Aerospace would have to grow free cash flow by +19.8 % per year for ten years (discount rate 9.5 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -9.6 % per year. As of Sep 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GE use?
Our models discount GE Aerospace at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mega), damped by beta 1.35, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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