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Copa Holdings (CPA) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $5.6B

CH Copa Holdings logo Copa Holdings CPA · US
Price$156.86
Fair Value$336.76
Upside+114.7%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $158.79 – $509.76

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +8.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$158.53 $103.02 Fair Value $336.76 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $103.02 – $158.53 · fair‑value band $158.79 – $509.76 · the $156.86 price screens below the $336.76 fair value. As of Jun 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Copa Holdings (CPA) currently trades at $156.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $336.76 — implying the stock looks roughly 114.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Copa Holdings generated revenue of $3.8B at a net margin of 18.8%. Revenue grew 17.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.4%. Net debt stands at $2.2B. Fundamentals as of Jun 25, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.0%
Net margin 18.8%
Return on equity 26.4%
Free cash flow $308M FY2025
P/E ratio 8.0
More key figures
Operating margin 24.6%
EPS (TTM) $17.16
Dividend yield 5.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +20.5%
Net debt $2.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Copa Holdings, S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides airline passenger, and cargo and mail transportation services in North America, South America, Central America, and the Caribbean. As of December 31, 2025, it operated through a fleet of 125 aircraft. The company was founded in 1947 and is based in Panama City, Panama.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Copa Holdings reported revenue of $3.6B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +24.4%/yr. Reported net income was $672M in FY2025, compounding +97.8%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +24.4%/yr
FY21 $1.5B
FY22 $3.0B
FY23 $3.5B
FY24 $3.4B
FY25 $3.6B
Net income +97.8%/yr
FY21 $43.8M
FY22 $348M
FY23 $514M
FY24 $608M
FY25 $672M

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Similar stocks

6 more Airlines stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Ryanair Holdings R1YA34 R$36.72 R$31.20 -15%
Delta Air Lines, Inc DAL $76.47 $70.83 -7%
United Airlines Holdings UAL1 €100.00 €85.45 -15%
International Consolidated Airlines Group ICAGY $12.28 $21.76 +77%
Southwest Airlines Co LUV $41.54 $4.93 -88%
InterGlobe Aviation Limited INDIGO ₹4,481 ₹4,395 -2%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Copa Holdings (CPA) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $336.76 versus a price of $156.86 — about +115% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CPA?
Our 21-model fair value for Copa Holdings is $336.76 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $156.86.
What is the quality score of CPA?
Copa Holdings has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Copa Holdings (CPA)?
Copa Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.8B (latest available figure, as of Jun 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CPA?
The net profit margin of Copa Holdings is about 18.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Copa Holdings pay a dividend?
Copa Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.00% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.