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InterGlobe Aviation Limited (INDIGO) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹2.0T

IA InterGlobe Aviation Limited INDIGO · NSE
Price₹5,319
Fair Value₹7,408
Upside+39.3%
Quality51/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/12)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range ₹6,399 – ₹8,377 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from ₹3,704 to ₹7,408 (+100.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 39% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹6,399). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹6,156 ₹1,539 Fair Value ₹7,408 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹1,539 – ₹6,156 · fair‑value band ₹6,399 – ₹8,377 · the ₹5,319 price screens below the ₹7,408 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

InterGlobe Aviation Limited (INDIGO) currently trades at ₹5,319, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹7,408, implying the stock looks roughly 39.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, InterGlobe Aviation Limited generated revenue of ₹847B at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue grew 6.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 82.2%. Net debt stands at ₹537B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹6,399 (bear case) to ₹8,377 (bull case); at ₹5,319, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 45% fair-value upside, at 39%, INDIGO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹10,431 ₹19,600 ₹38,928 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹5,267 ₹8,884 ₹14,969 74
ROIC Compounder ₹2,983 ₹3,400 ₹3,771 72
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹11,029 ₹17,403 ₹38,245 38
Owner Earnings ₹3,265 ₹6,816 ₹14,605 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹5,267 ₹7,829 ₹13,005 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹7,342 ₹12,088 ₹21,212 41
10Y Revenue Exit ₹6,797 ₹11,879 ₹14,981 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹8,445 ₹16,328 ₹30,399 37
Earnings-Based
EPV ₹2,983 ₹3,400 ₹3,771 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹96.15 ₹209.91 ₹353.18 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹96.15 ₹171.95 ₹218.76 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ₹4,165 ₹5,346 ₹6,527 53
EV/EBITDA ₹5,906 ₹7,667 ₹9,429 54
EV/Revenue ₹3,010 ₹4,033 ₹5,057 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹90.14 ₹120.79 ₹180.29 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹10,431 ₹19,600 ₹38,928 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹5,267 ₹8,884 ₹14,969 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ₹2,983 ₹3,400 ₹3,771 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹11,879) versus Asset-Based (₹120.79). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹847B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.2%
Net margin 3.8%
Return on equity 82.2%
Free cash flow ₹225B FY2026
Operating margin 15.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ₹-61.84
EPS growth (YoY) -77.6%
Net debt ₹537B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 97
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

InterGlobe Aviation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services under the IndiGo brand in India and internationally. The company offers pre-flight and post-flight ground handling operations; passenger and cargo services; and related allied services, such as in-flight sales, and other allied services at the airports.

Full company description

InterGlobe Aviation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services under the IndiGo brand in India and internationally. The company offers pre-flight and post-flight ground handling operations; passenger and cargo services; and related allied services, such as in-flight sales, and other allied services at the airports. It also engages in aircraft and aircraft engine leasing, as well as related financial services. In addition, the company provides cargo transport; charter flights; hotel booking services through its website and mobile app; and cadet pilot program for pilot training. As of March 31, 2025, its fleet consisted of 434 aircraft. The company serves businesses, leisure travelers, students, and families. InterGlobe Aviation Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Gurugram, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

InterGlobe Aviation Limited reported revenue of ₹850B in FY2026 versus ₹257B in FY2022, a compound +34.9%/yr. Reported net income was −₹23.9B in FY2026.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹850B
Latest YoY
+5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+16.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+42.3%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y)
+23.0%
Revenue +34.9%/yr
FY22 ₹257B
FY23 ₹536B
FY24 ₹674B
FY25 ₹805B
FY26 ₹850B
Net income
FY22 −₹61.6B
FY23 −₹3.1B
FY24 ₹81.7B
FY25 ₹72.6B
FY26 −₹23.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "InterGlobe Aviation Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/INDIGO

Peer Group

Airlines · 60 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside +39% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 82% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Airlines median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.31× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 86 · sector 36
FUTURE 31 · sector 46
PAST 100 · sector 46
HEALTH 100 · sector 72
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

Insider activity: 20/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Airlines stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Air Lines, Inc DAL $84.17 $118.24 +40%
United Airlines Holdings UAL $120.97 $175.62 +45%
Ryanair Holdings RYA €25.47 €41.26 +62%
Southwest Airlines Co LUV $47.56 $14.76 -69%
Singapore Airlines Limited C6L 7.60 SGD 7.89 SGD +4%
Air China Limited 601111 ¥5.97 ¥7.16 +20%
LATAM Airlines Group LTM $54.87 $106.79 +95%
Deutsche Lufthansa AG 1LHA €9.98 €15.60 +56%
China Southern Airlines Company 600029 ¥4.99 ¥1.28 -74%
China Eastern Airlines Corporation 600115 ¥3.66 ¥14.20 +288%

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Frequently asked questions

Is InterGlobe Aviation Limited (INDIGO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹7,408 versus a price of ₹5,319, about +39% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of INDIGO?
Our model-based fair value for InterGlobe Aviation Limited is ₹7,408 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹5,319.
What is the quality score of INDIGO?
InterGlobe Aviation Limited has a Quality Score of 51/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of InterGlobe Aviation Limited (INDIGO)?
InterGlobe Aviation Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹847B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of INDIGO?
The net profit margin of InterGlobe Aviation Limited is about 3.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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