CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of CEMATRIX Corporation $0.40, price $0.34, upside +18.3%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1040 – $0.4280 · fair‑value band $0.2600 – $0.6500 · the $0.3380 price screens below the $0.4000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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CEMATRIX Corporation, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cellular concrete products in North America, Canada, and the United States. The company engages in onsite production and placement of cellular concrete.
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CEMATRIX Corporation, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cellular concrete products in North America, Canada, and the United States. The company engages in onsite production and placement of cellular concrete. It also offers cellular concrete products use in lightweight backfill for retaining wall fill, MSE walls, bridge approach fills, roadways and runways, and slope stabilization; insulation material for oil and gas facility slabs, roadways, shallow utilities, and contaminated site thermal remediation; and grout and flowable fill for tunnel grouting, slipline and annular grout, pipe abandonment, and flowable fill applications. CEMATRIX Corporation is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Stock analysis
CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF) currently trades at $0.3380, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4000, implying the stock looks roughly 15.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $0.5200 per share, and 16 of the 24 models we run sit above the $0.3380 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.1300, and 8 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.2600 (bear) to $0.6500 (bull), the price of $0.3380 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
CEMATRIX Corporation reported revenue of C$45.1M in FY2025 versus C$22.6M in FY2021, a compound +18.8%/yr. Reported net income was C$4.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $50.6M · P/E ratio 16.9 · P/S ratio 1.52 · EPS (TTM) $0.0200 · Net margin 9.0% · Return on equity 9.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.9% · Operating margin −21.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 18%, CTXXF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.2600Fair Value $0.4000Bull $0.6500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0151 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.4% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +24.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−4% → 12%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.8%/yr over ~6Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 397% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CAD, Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 248 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+9.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.9% · Above median
Return on assets6.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)8.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−21.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CEMATRIX Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CTXXF
Frequently asked questions
Is CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4000 versus a price of $0.3380, about +18% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CTXXF?
Our model-based fair value for CEMATRIX Corporation is $0.4000 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.3380.
What is the quality score of CTXXF?
CEMATRIX Corporation has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4000 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2600, optimistic scenario $0.6500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CEMATRIX Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4000, about +18% upside versus a price of $0.3380 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.2600, optimistic scenario $0.6500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF)?
CEMATRIX Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$45.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CEMATRIX Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +15.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CTXXF use?
Our models discount CEMATRIX Corporation at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.19, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CEMATRIX Corporation that is +15.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CEMATRIX Corporation grew +11.2 % a year. The price currently implies +15.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CEMATRIX Corporation (+15.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.58 %: that much free cash flow CEMATRIX Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CEMATRIX Corporation it is $0.4000 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.3380. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CEMATRIX Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CTXXF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.3380, fair value $0.4000, a gap of about +18% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CTXXF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.3380); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4000). For CEMATRIX Corporation the two are $0.0620 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CEMATRIX Corporation worth?
The market values CEMATRIX Corporation at about $50.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.3380; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CTXXF?
Our models span a range for CEMATRIX Corporation: cautious scenario $0.2600, base $0.4000, optimistic $0.6500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.3380). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CTXXF?
CEMATRIX Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.4000 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 10.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF)?
Balance-sheet figures for CEMATRIX Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.9%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CTXXF from its 52-week high?
CEMATRIX Corporation trades at $0.3380, about 21% below its 52-week high of $0.4280 and 48% above the low of $0.2280 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CEMATRIX Corporation?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CEMATRIX Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.3380, calculated fair value $0.4000 (+18%), Quality Score 67/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CTXXF calculated?
We run CEMATRIX Corporation through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. CEMATRIX Corporation currently trades 15 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.3380. Our model-based fair value is $0.4000, about +18% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CEMATRIX Corporation right now?
A fairly wide model range ($0.2600 to $0.6500) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of CEMATRIX Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF)?
The market capitalisation of CEMATRIX Corporation is $50.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CEMATRIX Corporation is 1.52 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF)?
Earnings per share at CEMATRIX Corporation are $0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF)?
The net margin of CEMATRIX Corporation is 9.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CEMATRIX Corporation is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CEMATRIX Corporation is −0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF)?
The operating margin of CEMATRIX Corporation is −21.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF)?
Revenue at CEMATRIX Corporation is growing +9.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF)?
Earnings per share at CEMATRIX Corporation are growing +116% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does CEMATRIX Corporation (CTXXF) carry?
The net debt of CEMATRIX Corporation is C$10.6M (fiscal year 2020, ≈ 3.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026