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CaliberCos Inc (CWD) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $6.7M

CI CaliberCos Inc logo CaliberCos Inc CWD · US
Price$0.6050
Fair Value$0.1100
Upside-81.8%
Quality34/100
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Evidence: Low Range $0.0800 – $0.1600

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price +33.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$4.48 $0.2976 Fair Value $0.1100 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $0.2976 – $4.48 · fair‑value band $0.0800 – $0.1600 · the $0.6050 price screens above the $0.1100 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

CaliberCos Inc (CWD) currently trades at $0.6050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1100 — implying the stock looks roughly 81.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $17.1M. Revenue declined 40.9% year over year. Net debt stands at $95.7M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $17.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) -40.9%
Net margin -123%
Return on equity -106%
Free cash flow −$12.1M FY2025
Operating margin -63.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-4.37
Net debt $95.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

CaliberCos Inc. is a real estate investment, and an asset management firm specializes in middle-market assets. It serves its investor clients by creating, managing, and servicing proprietary products, including middle-market investment funds, private syndications, and direct investments, which are managed by the firm's in-house asset services group. It invests primarily in commercial real estate, qualified opportunity zones (QOZ), private equity, and debt facilities. It delivers a full suite of alternative investments to high net worth, accredited and qualified investors, as well as family offices and smaller institutions. CaliberCos Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CaliberCos Inc reported revenue of $20.1M in FY2025 versus $56.0M in FY2021, a compound −22.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$21.8M in FY2025.

Revenue −22.6%/yr
FY21 $56.0M
FY22 $84.0M
FY23 $90.9M
FY24 $51.1M
FY25 $20.1M
Net income
FY21 −$698K
FY22 $2.0M
FY23 −$12.7M
FY24 −$19.8M
FY25 −$21.8M

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Frequently asked questions

Is CaliberCos Inc (CWD) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1100 versus a price of $0.6050 — about −82% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CWD?
Our model-based fair value for CaliberCos Inc is $0.1100 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.6050.
What is the quality score of CWD?
CaliberCos Inc has a Quality Score of 34/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of CaliberCos Inc (CWD)?
CaliberCos Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.1M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CWD?
The net profit margin of CaliberCos Inc is about -122.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.