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CaliberCos Inc. Class A (CWD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what CaliberCos Inc. Class A is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Jul 26, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Financial Services · US · ISIN US13000T1097

CI CaliberCos Inc. Class A logo Thin data Jul 26, 2026

CaliberCos Inc. Class A

CWD · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.1100 · Strongly overvalued (−85%)
!Quality 35/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −11.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -122.7% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/10)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$154.00 $0.4420 Fair Value $0.1100 May 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

40‑month range $0.4420 – $154.00 · fair‑value band $0.0800 – $0.1600 · the $0.7540 price screens above the $0.1100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Company profile

CaliberCos Inc. is a real estate investment, and an asset management firm specializes in middle-market assets. It serves its investor clients by creating, managing, and servicing proprietary products, including middle-market investment funds, private syndications, and direct investments, which are managed by the firm's in-house asset services group.

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CaliberCos Inc. is a real estate investment, and an asset management firm specializes in middle-market assets. It serves its investor clients by creating, managing, and servicing proprietary products, including middle-market investment funds, private syndications, and direct investments, which are managed by the firm's in-house asset services group. It invests primarily in commercial real estate, qualified opportunity zones (QOZ), private equity, and debt facilities. It delivers a full suite of alternative investments to high net worth, accredited and qualified investors, as well as family offices and smaller institutions. CaliberCos Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.

Stock analysis

CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock (CWD) currently trades at $0.7540, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1100, implying the stock looks roughly 585.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0800 (bear) to $0.1600 (bull), the price of $0.7540 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock reported revenue of $20.1M in FY2025 versus $56.0M in FY2021, a compound −22.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$21.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $6.7M · P/S ratio 0.39 · EPS (TTM) $−4.37 · Net margin −108% · Return on equity −106% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.8% · Operating margin −63.9% · Revenue (TTM) $17.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 88% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at −85%, CWD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0800 Fair Value $0.1100 Bull $0.1600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0800 $0.1100 $0.1600 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0800 $0.1100 $0.1600 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−60.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−37.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−69.5% (2020) → −66.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CWD screens 585% overvalued. Compare with Blackstone Inc →

Compare CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 657 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −123% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −64% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −41% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 61.73× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.99× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.39× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Blackstone Inc BX $124.01 $52.88 −57%
Brookfield Corporation BN $37.85 $13.75 −64%
KKR & Co KKR $97.21 $29.25 −70%
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $124.36 $229.64 +85%
State Street Corporation STT $179.95 $138.33 −23%
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $502.79 $579.51 +15%
Ares Management Corporation ARES $124.72 $119.25 −4%
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $173.40 $122.02 −30%
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $158.23 $312.27 +97%
T. Rowe Price Group TROW $104.57 $209.14 +100%

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CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock · Fair Value
$0.1100 −585%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CWD

Frequently asked questions

Is CaliberCos Inc. Class A (CWD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1100 versus a price of $0.7540, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CWD?
Our model-based fair value for CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock is $0.1100 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.7540.
What is the quality score of CWD?
CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CaliberCos Inc. Class A (CWD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1100 (as of Jul 26, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0800, optimistic scenario $0.1600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1100, about −85% upside versus a price of $0.7540 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0800, optimistic scenario $0.1600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CaliberCos Inc. Class A (CWD)?
CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of CaliberCos Inc. Class A (CWD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock it is $0.1100 per share (as of Jul 26, 2026), against a price of $0.7540. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jul 26, 2026, CWD trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.7540, fair value $0.1100, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CWD?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.7540); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1100). For CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock the two are $0.6440 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock worth?
The market values CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock at about $6.7M (market capitalisation, as of Jul 26, 2026). Per share that is $0.7540; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CWD?
Our models span a range for CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock: cautious scenario $0.0800, base $0.1100, optimistic $0.1600 per share (as of Jul 26, 2026, price $0.7540). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of CaliberCos Inc. Class A (CWD)?
Balance-sheet figures for CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock (as of Jul 26, 2026): return on equity −105.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CWD from its 52-week high?
CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock trades at $0.7540, about 88% below its 52-week high of $6.04 and 71% above the low of $0.4420 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jul 26, 2026: price $0.7540, calculated fair value $0.1100 (−85%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CWD calculated?
We run CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CaliberCos Inc. Class A (CWD)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $0.7540. Our model-based fair value is $0.1100, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.0800 to $0.1600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock

How large is the market capitalisation of CaliberCos Inc. Class A (CWD)?
The market capitalisation of CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock is $6.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CaliberCos Inc. Class A (CWD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock is 0.39 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CaliberCos Inc. Class A (CWD)?
Earnings per share at CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock are $−4.37. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of CaliberCos Inc. Class A (CWD)?
The net margin of CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock is −108% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CaliberCos Inc. Class A (CWD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock is −106% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CaliberCos Inc. Class A (CWD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock is −8.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CaliberCos Inc. Class A (CWD)?
The operating margin of CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock is −63.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CaliberCos Inc. Class A (CWD)?
Revenue at CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock is growing −40.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −37.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does CaliberCos Inc. Class A (CWD) generate?
The free cash flow of CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock is −$12.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does CaliberCos Inc. Class A (CWD) carry?
The net debt of CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock is $95.7M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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