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Avolta AG (DFRYF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $8.9B

Price$63.14
Fair Value$38.15
Upside-39.6%
Quality94/100
Evidence: High Range $28.61 – $67.48

Analysis

Avolta AG (DFRYF) currently trades at $63.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $38.15 — implying the stock looks roughly 39.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Avolta AG operates as a travel retail company in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. It offers perfumes and cosmetics, food and beverages, wines and spirits, luxury goods, fuel, electronics, literature, publications, toys and souvenirs, soft drinks, packaged food, travel accessories, personal items, newspapers, magazines, books, watches and jewelry, sunglasses, destination, and other products; and confectionery and catering, textile, leather, luggage, and tobacco and related products. The company operates general travel retail shops under the Dufry, World Duty Free, Hellenic Duty Free, Autogrill, and HMSHost brands; and convenience stores under the Hudson brand. It operates duty-free and duty-paid shops, restaurants, and hybrid concepts located at airports, border, downtown and hotel shops, railway stations, cruise liners and ferries, seaports, and motorways. The company was formerly known as Dufry AG and changed its name to Avolta AG…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.