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DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of DMCI Holdings Inc $2.18, price $1.09, upside +100.0%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · ADR · Home Philippines · ISIN US2558932081

DH DMCI Holdings Inc logo Broad data Sep 24, 2026

DMCI Holdings Inc

DMCHY · US

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value $2.18 · Strongly undervalued (+100.0%)
!Quality 57/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +10.4 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!7.1% dividend yield · Watch coverage
✓Ranks above peers (10/14)
!Moderate moat 55/100
!Insider activity 40/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$2.00 $0.5833 Fair Value $2.18 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.5833 – $2.00 · fair‑value band $1.32 – $3.01 · the $1.09 price screens below the $2.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

DMCI Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the general construction, coal and nickel mining, power generation, real estate development, water concession, and manufacturing businesses in the Philippines and internationally.

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DMCI Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the general construction, coal and nickel mining, power generation, real estate development, water concession, and manufacturing businesses in the Philippines and internationally. The company operates through eight segments: Construction and Others, Coal Mining, Nickel Mining, Real Estate, On-Grid Power, Off-Grid Power, Water, and Cement Manufacturing. It also involved in the production and trading of concrete products; and handling steel fabrication, and electrical and foundation works. In addition, the company engages in the development of mid-income residential properties under the DMCI Homes brand; hotel services and property management; generation of power through coal-fired and satellite power plants; exploration, mining, development, and sale of coal resources on Semirara Island in Caluya, Antique; mining, extracting, and selling of nickel, chromite, and iron laterite from Berong, Long Point, Moorsom, and Ulugan mines in Palawan, as well as from Acoje mines in Zambales; and provision of water and sewerage service; and marketing, distribution and sale of cement and other cement products. The company was founded in 1954 and is based in Makati City, the Philippines. DMCI Holdings, Inc. is a subsidiary of Dacon Corporation.

Stock analysis

DMCI Holdings Inc ADR (DMCHY) currently trades at $1.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.18, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $3.91 per share, and 12 of the 13 models we run sit above the $1.09 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.9700, and 1 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $1.32 (bear) to $3.01 (bull), the price of $1.09 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

DMCI Holdings Inc ADR reported revenue of 111B PHP in FY2025 versus 108B PHP in FY2021, a compound +0.6%/yr. Reported net income was 15.4B PHP in FY2025, compounding −4.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $1.9B · P/E ratio 5.5 · P/S ratio 0.76 · EPS (TTM) $0.2000 · Dividend yield 7.1% · Net margin 13.9% · Return on equity 12.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 100%, DMCHY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.32 Fair Value $2.18 Bull $3.01
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $2.19 $3.41 $5.07 75
Residual Income $1.30 $1.47 $1.80 74
Owner Earnings $2.45 $3.91 $5.98 73
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $2.45 $3.91 $5.98 73
5Y P/E Exit $2.30 $3.96 $5.77 68
10Y P/E Exit $2.22 $3.60 $5.38 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.26 $4.78 $6.47 62
Lynch FV $1.16 $1.66 $2.15 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.41 $2.54 $3.50 66
DDM Multi-Stage $1.41 $2.32 $2.71 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2.93 $3.90 $4.88 63
P/B Multiple $2.37 $3.16 $3.95 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.7200 $0.9700 $1.45 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.19 $3.41 $5.07 75
Rev-Margin DCF $1.68 $2.77 $4.10 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.30 $1.47 $1.80 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.9% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+15.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8.0% vs 2.5%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 360 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +100.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3.5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 13.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.42× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.5× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.00× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.12× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 7.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.1× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 24
PAST (return on equity)51 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)79 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 43

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DMCI Holdings Inc ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DMCHY

Frequently asked questions

Is DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.18 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $1.09, about +100% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DMCHY?
Our model-based fair value for DMCI Holdings Inc ADR is $2.18 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $1.09.
What is the quality score of DMCHY?
DMCI Holdings Inc ADR has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.18 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.32, optimistic scenario $3.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the DMCI Holdings Inc ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.18, about +100% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $1.09 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.32, optimistic scenario $3.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY)?
DMCI Holdings Inc ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 108B PHP (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does DMCI Holdings Inc ADR pay a dividend?
DMCI Holdings Inc ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.11% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For DMCI Holdings Inc ADR it is $2.18 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.09. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is DMCI Holdings Inc ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DMCHY trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.09, fair value $2.18, a gap of about +100% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DMCHY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.18). For DMCI Holdings Inc ADR the two are $1.09 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is DMCI Holdings Inc ADR worth?
The market values DMCI Holdings Inc ADR at about $1.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.09; our models calculate a fair value of $2.18 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DMCHY?
Our models span a range for DMCI Holdings Inc ADR: cautious scenario $1.32, base $2.18, optimistic $3.01 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DMCHY?
DMCI Holdings Inc ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.18 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 5.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY)?
Balance-sheet figures for DMCI Holdings Inc ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.7%, debt of 0.42 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DMCHY from its 52-week high?
DMCI Holdings Inc ADR trades at $1.09, about 46% below its 52-week high of $2.00 and at the low of $1.09 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to DMCI Holdings Inc ADR?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Swire Pacific Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is DMCI Holdings Inc ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.09, calculated fair value $2.18 (+100%), Quality Score 57/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DMCHY calculated?
We run DMCI Holdings Inc ADR through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.18, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. DMCI Holdings Inc ADR currently trades 50 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $1.09. Our model-based fair value is $2.18, about +100% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with DMCI Holdings Inc ADR right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.32). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($1.32 to $3.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY) come from?
Earnings per share at DMCI Holdings Inc ADR grew +5.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.3 %, EBIT margin +0.7 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of DMCI Holdings Inc ADR

How large is the market capitalisation of DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY)?
The market capitalisation of DMCI Holdings Inc ADR is $1.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of DMCI Holdings Inc ADR is 0.76 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY)?
Earnings per share at DMCI Holdings Inc ADR are $0.2000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY)?
The dividend yield of DMCI Holdings Inc ADR is 7.1% (payout 38.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY)?
The net margin of DMCI Holdings Inc ADR is 13.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of DMCI Holdings Inc ADR is 12.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of DMCI Holdings Inc ADR is 13.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY)?
The operating margin of DMCI Holdings Inc ADR is 18.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY)?
Revenue at DMCI Holdings Inc ADR is growing −2.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY)?
Earnings per share at DMCI Holdings Inc ADR are growing −3.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY) generate?
The free cash flow of DMCI Holdings Inc ADR is 17.2B PHP (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does DMCI Holdings Inc (DMCHY) carry?
The net debt of DMCI Holdings Inc ADR is 40.5B PHP (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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