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The Estée Lauder Companies Inc (EL) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $30.0B

TE The Estée Lauder Companies Inc logo The Estée Lauder Companies Inc EL · US
Price$83.76
Fair Value$31.35
Upside-62.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $14.00 – $53.59

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −10.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$125.35 $70.68 Fair Value $31.35 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $70.68 – $125.35 · fair‑value band $14.00 – $53.59 · the $83.76 price screens above the $31.35 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc (EL) currently trades at $83.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $31.35 — implying the stock looks roughly 62.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc generated revenue of $14.8B at a net margin of -1.7%. Revenue grew 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.0%. Net debt stands at $6.5B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $14.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.6%
Net margin -1.7%
Return on equity -6.0%
Free cash flow $670M FY2025
Operating margin 14.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.7000
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -45.5%
Net debt $6.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products worldwide. The company offers skin care products, including moisturizers, serums, cleansers, toners, eye care, body care, exfoliators, acne care and oil correctors, facial masks, and sun care products; and makeup products, such as foundations, powders, concealers and setting sprays, lipsticks, lip liners and lip glosses, mascaras, and eyeshadows and eyeliners, as well as compacts, brushes, and other makeup tools. It also provides fragrance products in various forms comprising parfum, eau de parfum, eau de toilette, eau de cologne, and body spray, as well as lotions, creams, powders, candles and soaps; and hair care products, including shampoos, conditioners, styling products, treatment, finishing sprays, and hair colour products, as well as sells ancillary products and services. The company offers its products under the La Mer, Jo Malone London, TOM FORD, AERIN Beaut…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc reported revenue of $14.3B in FY2025 versus $16.2B in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.1B in FY2025.

Revenue −3.1%/yr
FY21 $16.2B
FY22 $17.7B
FY23 $15.9B
FY24 $15.6B
FY25 $14.3B
Net income
FY21 $2.9B
FY22 $2.4B
FY23 $1.0B
FY24 $390M
FY25 −$1.1B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

6 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Procter & Gamble Company PG 2,590 MXN 108.66 MXN -96%
L'Oréal S.A LRLCF $450.56 $209.17 -54%
Unilever PLC UNLYF $59.34 $46.11 -22%
Colgate-Palmolive Company CPA €77.58 €35.72 -54%
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹2,170 ₹807.38 -63%
Reckitt Benckiser Group RBGLY $12.32 $17.37 +41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Estée Lauder Companies Inc (EL) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $31.35 versus a price of $83.76 — about −63% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of EL?
Our 21-model fair value for The Estée Lauder Companies Inc is $31.35 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $83.76.
What is the quality score of EL?
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of The Estée Lauder Companies Inc (EL)?
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $14.8B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EL?
The net profit margin of The Estée Lauder Companies Inc is about -1.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The Estée Lauder Companies Inc pay a dividend?
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.71% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.