The Estée Lauder Companies Inc (EL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $30.0B
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc
EL · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $21.64 to $21.37 (−1.2%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price +1.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 75% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($36.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide ($9.40 to $36.57). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $49.08 – $346.04 · fair‑value band $9.40 – $36.57 · the $85.49 price screens above the $21.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc (EL) currently trades at $85.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.37, implying the stock looks roughly 75.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc generated revenue of $14.8B at a net margin of -1.7%. Revenue grew 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.0%. Net debt stands at $6.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $9.40 (bear case) to $36.57 (bull case); at $85.49, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -75%, EL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($35.69) versus Asset-Based ($7.19). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products worldwide.
Full company description
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products worldwide. The company offers skin care products, including moisturizers, serums, cleansers, toners, eye care, body care, exfoliators, acne care and oil correctors, facial masks, and sun care products; and makeup products, such as foundations, powders, concealers and setting sprays, lipsticks, lip liners and lip glosses, mascaras, and eyeshadows and eyeliners, as well as compacts, brushes, and other makeup tools. It also provides fragrance products in various forms comprising parfum, eau de parfum, eau de toilette, eau de cologne, and body spray, as well as lotions, creams, powders, candles and soaps; and hair care products, including shampoos, conditioners, styling products, treatment, finishing sprays, and hair colour products, as well as sells ancillary products and services. The company offers its products under the La Mer, Jo Malone London, TOM FORD, AERIN Beauty, Le Labo, Editions de Parfums Frédéric Malle, KILIAN PARIS, BALMAIN Beauty, Estée Lauder, Clinique, M·A·C, The Ordinary, Aveda, Bobbi Brown Cosmetics, Too Faced, Dr.Jart+, Bumble and bumble, Editions de Parfums Frédéric Malle, Smashbox, Darphin Paris, Lab Series, NIOD, Aramis, and GLAMGLOW brands. It sells its products through department stores, duty-free retailers, specialty multi retailers, online pure players, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and top-tier salons and spas, as well as direct-to-consumer businesses across freestanding stores, and brand websites and third-party online platforms. The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc reported revenue of $14.3B in FY2025 versus $16.2B in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.1B in FY2025.
EL screens 75% overvalued. Compare with The Procter & Gamble Company →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Estee Lauder (EL) Just Reclaimed the 50-Day Moving Average
- Estée Lauder Companies (EL) Glimmer Launch Puts Its Recovery Valuation Story In Focus
- Estée Lauder Announces New Fragrance, Glimmer, with Global Campaign Starring Hailee Steinfeld
- What You Need To Know Ahead of Estée Lauder’s Earnings Release
Peer Group
Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Procter & Gamble Company PG | $146.80 | $108.16 | -26% |
| Unilever PLC ULN | 1,080 MXN | 1,273 MXN | +18% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹2,144 | ₹1,000 | -53% |
| Essity AB ESSITYA | kr 279.00 | kr 250.02 | -10% |
| Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP | ₹1,088 | ₹367.64 | -66% |
| Marico Limited MARICO | ₹846.75 | ₹233.05 | -72% |
| APR Co 278470 | 375,000 KRW | 151,222 KRW | -60% |
| Dabur India Limited DABUR | ₹429.45 | ₹181.60 | -58% |
| Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA | 38.07 MXN | 50.09 MXN | +32% |
| PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR | 1,730 IDR | 1,934 IDR | +12% |
Compare The Estée Lauder Companies Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is The Estée Lauder Companies Inc (EL) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of EL?
What is the quality score of EL?
What is the revenue of The Estée Lauder Companies Inc (EL)?
What is the net profit margin of EL?
Does The Estée Lauder Companies Inc pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track The Estée Lauder Companies Inc and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.