Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation
Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free
Discover now →
Logistics Development Group (ESLGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Logistics Development Group is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
- Add to watchlist
LD
Thin data
Sep 13, 2026
Thin data
Sep 13, 2026
Logistics Development Group
ESLGF · USCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
✓Fair value $0.6200 · Strongly undervalued (+173%)
!Quality 38/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +35.2 %/yr)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Watch Logistics Development Group for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.
Watch for free
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0845 – $0.2275 · fair‑value band $0.4700 – $0.7700 · the $0.2275 price screens below the $0.6200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
Logistics Development Group plc does not have significant operations. The company intends to invest in the portfolio of assets. Previously, it was involved in the provision of logistics solutions. The company was formerly known as Eddie Stobart Logistics plc and changed its name to Logistics Development Group plc in February 2021.
Show more
Logistics Development Group plc does not have significant operations. The company intends to invest in the portfolio of assets. Previously, it was involved in the provision of logistics solutions. The company was formerly known as Eddie Stobart Logistics plc and changed its name to Logistics Development Group plc in February 2021. Logistics Development Group plc is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Logistics Development Group (ESLGF) currently trades at $0.2275, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6200, implying the stock looks roughly 63.3% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $1.29 per share, and 11 of the 13 models we run sit above the $0.2275 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.1300, and 2 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.4700 (bear) to $0.7700 (bull), the price of $0.2275 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Logistics Development Group reported revenue of £428K in FY2025 versus £0 in FY2021. Reported net income was £15.1M in FY2025, compounding −35.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $137M · P/S ratio 0.16 · EPS (TTM) $−0.7600 · Return on equity 0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3% · Revenue growth (YoY) −9.8% · EPS growth (YoY) −94.5% · Free cash flow −$2.1M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades near its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at 173%, ESLGF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.4700
Fair Value $0.6200
Bull $0.7700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$0.1700
$0.1900
$0.2700
74
Owner Earnings
$0.5500
$1.29
$2.58
69
Gordon GGM
$0.2200
$0.3800
$0.4900
66
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
$0.5500
$1.29
$2.58
69
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.1800
$1.28
$1.79
61
Lynch FV
$0.6600
$0.9400
$1.22
59
PEG = 1.0
$0.6600
$0.9400
$1.22
55
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.2200
$0.3800
$0.4900
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.2200
$0.3600
$0.4000
65
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.4200
$0.5600
$0.7100
63
P/B Multiple
$0.3400
$0.4600
$0.5700
55
EV/EBIT
$0.1200
$0.2300
$0.3500
63
EV/EBITDA
$0.4800
$0.7100
$0.9500
66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.1000
$0.1300
$0.2000
53
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.1700
$0.1900
$0.2700
74
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.8600
$1.23
$1.60
65
Notify me when ESLGF reaches fair value
Put ESLGF on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
38/100
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Profitability
47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
43
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−66.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.2%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−45.6%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−27.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−27.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−27% vs 1%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−27% → 3,510%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 50.9%/yr over ~9Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Watch ESLGF, get fair value alerts →
Compare Logistics Development Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 203 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $100.28 | $103.34 | +3% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $311.99 | $347.68 | +11% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €55.02 | €121.54 | +121% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,291 | kr 712.57 | −45% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 212.60 | CHF 147.92 | −30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $270.45 | $133.80 | −51% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.12 | ¥105.88 | +240% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $152.78 | $86.56 | −43% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $192.60 | $115.95 | −40% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ZTO | $20.61 | $31.98 | +55% |
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
All undervalued stocks
TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
🥇 Backtested Best
🏆 Big Names
⭐ Top Rated
💎 Quality on Sale
🚀 Profitable Growth
🧊 Quality Compounders
💵 Dividend Stars
📈 Strong Momentum
📉 Fallen Angels
⚖️ Deeply Undervalued
🔍 Small-Cap Gems
🏰 Moat at a Fair Price
💼 Insider Buying
🎩 Buffett-Style Quality
📚 Peter Lynch GARP
🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula
🛡️ Graham Defensive
Discover tools
Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector
Compare toolTwo stocks side by side
Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark
Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
Frequently asked questions
Is Logistics Development Group (ESLGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6200 versus a price of $0.2275, about +173% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ESLGF?
Our model-based fair value for Logistics Development Group is $0.6200 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.2275.
What is the quality score of ESLGF?
Logistics Development Group has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Logistics Development Group (ESLGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.6200 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.4700, optimistic scenario $0.7700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Logistics Development Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.6200, about +173% upside versus a price of $0.2275 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.4700, optimistic scenario $0.7700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Logistics Development Group (ESLGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Logistics Development Group it is $0.6200 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $0.2275. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Logistics Development Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, ESLGF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.2275, fair value $0.6200, a gap of about +173% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ESLGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2275); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.6200). For Logistics Development Group the two are $0.3925 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Logistics Development Group worth?
The market values Logistics Development Group at about $137M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $0.2275; our models calculate a fair value of $0.6200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ESLGF?
Our models span a range for Logistics Development Group: cautious scenario $0.4700, base $0.6200, optimistic $0.7700 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $0.2275). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Logistics Development Group (ESLGF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Logistics Development Group (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 0.9%, debt of 1.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ESLGF from its 52-week high?
Logistics Development Group trades at $0.2275, about 0% below its 52-week high of $0.2275 and 52% above the low of $0.1500 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.6200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Logistics Development Group?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Logistics Development Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $0.2275, calculated fair value $0.6200 (+173%), Quality Score 38/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ESLGF calculated?
We run Logistics Development Group through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.6200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Logistics Development Group currently trades 173 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Logistics Development Group right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.4700). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Logistics Development Group (ESLGF) come from?
Earnings per share at Logistics Development Group grew +3.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −50.4 %, EBIT margin +88.7 %, tax rate +1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +8.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Logistics Development Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Logistics Development Group (ESLGF)?
The market capitalisation of Logistics Development Group is $137M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Logistics Development Group (ESLGF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Logistics Development Group is 0.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Logistics Development Group (ESLGF)?
Earnings per share at Logistics Development Group are $−0.7600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Logistics Development Group (ESLGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Logistics Development Group is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Logistics Development Group (ESLGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Logistics Development Group is 5.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Logistics Development Group (ESLGF)?
Revenue at Logistics Development Group is growing −9.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +35.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Logistics Development Group (ESLGF)?
Earnings per share at Logistics Development Group are growing −94.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Logistics Development Group (ESLGF) generate?
The free cash flow of Logistics Development Group is −$2.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Logistics Development Group (ESLGF) hold?
Logistics Development Group holds more cash than debt, $2.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Logistics Development Group in the live analysis
One click puts Logistics Development Group on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.