DSV A/S (DSV) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · DK · Market cap 396B DKK
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price −19.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 47% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 890.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 476.11 to kr 890.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 850.64 – kr 1,894 · fair‑value band kr 476.11 – kr 890.71 · the kr 1,334 price screens above the kr 712.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
DSV A/S (DSV) currently trades at kr 1,334, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 712.57, implying the stock looks roughly 46.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, DSV A/S generated revenue of 276B DKK at a net margin of 2.5%. Revenue grew 68.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.2%. Net debt stands at 109B DKK. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 476.11 (bear case) to kr 890.71 (bull case); at kr 1,334, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -47%, DSV screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 1,336) versus Dividend Discount (kr 121.36). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
DSV A/S offers freight forwarding and logistics services in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, South America, Asia, Australia, and the Pacific. It operates through three segments: Air & Sea, Road, and Solutions.
Full company description
DSV A/S offers freight forwarding and logistics services in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, South America, Asia, Australia, and the Pacific. It operates through three segments: Air & Sea, Road, and Solutions. The company provides air freight, charter, and sea-air freight services, as well as unit load devices; sea freight services, including less-than-container load services, sea freight services, break bulk, sea containers, and DSV LCL sailing schedule services; and warehousing, e-commerce fulfilment, supply chain, contract logistics, and logistics solutions. It also offers road freight services, such as full load, part load, and groupage; conventional freight forwarding services and tailored project cargo solutions; and freight management, customs clearance, decarbonising logistics, order management, insurance, and e-commerce solutions. The company serves the automotive, technology, healthcare, energy, industrial, consumer, defense, aerospace, and chemical industries. The company was formerly known as DSV Panalpina A/S and changed its name to DSV A/S in September 2021. DSV A/S was incorporated in 1976 and is based in Hedehusene, Denmark.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
DSV A/S reported revenue of kr 245B in FY2025 versus kr 182B in FY2021, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was kr 8.1B in FY2025, compounding −7.8%/yr from FY2021.
DSV screens 47% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Invesco and DSV's have been highlighted as Zacks Bull and Bear of the Day
- Bear of the Day: DSV (DSDVY)
- DSV AS (DSDVF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record EBIT and Strategic Progress Amid Challenges
- DSV, 1170 - INTERIM FINANCIAL REPORT H1 2026
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 216 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
| Hyundai Glovis Co 086280 | 191,200 KRW | 468,982 KRW | +145% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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