ExlService Holdings (EXLS) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $4.2B
ExlService Holdings
EXLS · US
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price +27.4% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 14% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($22.12 to $50.28) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from $22.12 (bear) to $50.28 (bull), base $30.05. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 79/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $19.16 – $51.80 · fair‑value band $22.12 – $50.28 · the $34.89 price screens above the $30.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
ExlService Holdings (EXLS) currently trades at $34.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.05, implying the stock looks roughly 13.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, ExlService Holdings generated revenue of $2.2B at a net margin of 11.7%. Revenue grew 13.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.1%. Net debt stands at $257M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $22.12 (bear case) to $50.28 (bull case); at $34.89, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -14%, EXLS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($43.50) versus Dividend Discount ($3.64). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ExlService Holdings, Inc., operates as a data and artificial intelligence ("AI") company in the North America, the United Kingdom, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Insurance; Healthcare and Life Sciences; Banking, Capital Markets, and Diversified Industries; and International Growth Markets.
Full company description
ExlService Holdings, Inc., operates as a data and artificial intelligence ("AI") company in the North America, the United Kingdom, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Insurance; Healthcare and Life Sciences; Banking, Capital Markets, and Diversified Industries; and International Growth Markets. It provides digital operations and solutions and analytics-driven services, such as claims management, premium and benefit administration, agency management, account reconciliation, actuarial and risk analytics, policy research, digital marketing, underwriting support, new business acquisition, policy servicing, audit, surveys, billing and collection, commercial and residential survey, and customer service; digital customer acquisition services using a software-as-a-service delivery model through LifePRO and Life Digital Suite platforms; and Subrosource software platform, an end-to-end subrogation platform. The company also offers health care services for care, utilization, and disease management; payment integrity; revenue optimization, customer engagement, and commercial analytics and regulatory support services; and digital operations and solutions. In addition, it provides financial planning and analysis, accounting, regulatory and statutory reporting, decision support, data management, and compliance services; consumer and commercial banking, credit card and payment services; fintech, wealth and retirement services; capital markets, utilities, retail and consumer packaged goods, communications, media and entertainment, travel and leisure, transportation and logistics, infrastructure, and other business services; property and casualty insurance, life insurance, disability insurance; and insurance brokers, reinsurers, annuity and retirement services. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ExlService Holdings reported revenue of $2.1B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +16.8%/yr. Reported net income was $251M in FY2025, compounding +21.6%/yr from FY2021.
EXLS screens 14% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- How Much Upside is Left in ExlService Holdings (EXLS)? Wall Street Analysts Think 28.21%
- ExlService Holdings (EXLS) Appoints Bina Mehta As Board Leadership Shifts
- Is ExlService Holdings (EXLS) Undervalued Following Strong Results, Higher Guidance, And The iMerit Deal?
- EXL (EXLS) Shares Skyrocket, What You Need To Know
Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 480 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $235.92 | $143.90 | -39% |
| Accenture plc ACNN | 2,460 MXN | 250.95 MXN | -90% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,156 | ₹1,457 | +26% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,204 | ₹1,230 | +2% |
| Wipro Limited WIPRO | ₹178.43 | ₹226.81 | +27% |
| Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM | ₹1,455 | ₹1,086 | -25% |
| Samsung SDS Co 018260 | 199,300 KRW | 196,390 KRW | -1% |
| Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT | ₹5,059 | ₹2,364 | -53% |
| Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 | 393,000 KRW | 133,088 KRW | -66% |
| Coforge Limited COFORGE | ₹1,541 | ₹702.84 | -54% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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