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Foresight Group (FSG) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · GB · Market cap 497M GBX

FG Foresight Group FSG · LSE
Price£4.12
Fair Value£1.07
Upside-74.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range £0.8000 – £1.34

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −1.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

£4.60 £3.29 Fair Value £1.07 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range £3.29 – £4.60 · fair‑value band £0.8000 – £1.34 · the £4.12 price screens above the £1.07 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Foresight Group (FSG) currently trades at £4.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.07 — implying the stock looks roughly 74.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Foresight Group generated revenue of £162M at a net margin of 24.0%. Revenue grew 11.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 46.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £23.8M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 162M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.4%
Net margin 24.0%
Return on equity 46.0%
Free cash flow 41.7M GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 15.9
More key figures
Operating margin 31.7%
EPS (TTM) £0.2800
Dividend yield 5.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +49.1%
Net cash 23.8M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Foresight Group Holdings Limited operates as an infrastructure and private equity manager in the United Kingdom, Italy, Luxembourg, Ireland, Spain, and Australia. It operates through Infrastructure, Private Equity, venture capital and Foresight Capital Management segments. It specializes in early venture and emerging growth investments. The firm prefers to invest through growth capital and buyouts. The company involved in the provision of the management of infrastructure assets, private equity investments, and open-ended investment companies for institutional and retail investors. It also manages infrastructure assets with a focus on renewable energy generation, renewable energy enabling projects, and energy management solutions, as well as social infrastructure, transport businesses, and digital infrastructure and natural capital. In addition, it provides equity and credit to a range of sectors and development stages; and access to real assets and sustainable investment opportuniti…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Foresight Group reported revenue of £154M in FY2025 versus £69.1M in FY2021, a compound +22.2%/yr. Reported net income was £33.2M in FY2025, compounding +21.7%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +22.2%/yr
FY21 £69.1M
FY22 £86.3M
FY23 £119M
FY24 £141M
FY25 £154M
Net income +21.7%/yr
FY21 £15.2M
FY22 £25.1M
FY23 £23.6M
FY24 £26.4M
FY25 £33.2M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Foresight Group (FSG) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.07 versus a price of £4.12 — about −74% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of FSG?
Our 21-model fair value for Foresight Group is £1.07 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £4.12.
What is the quality score of FSG?
Foresight Group has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Foresight Group (FSG)?
Foresight Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £162M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FSG?
The net profit margin of Foresight Group is about 24.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 24.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Foresight Group pay a dividend?
Foresight Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.64% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.