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Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jun 18, 2026: fair value of Shougang Fushan Resources Group $0.54, price $0.31, upside +71.5%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Shougang Fushan Resources Group
FSHYF · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value $0.5400 · Strongly undervalued (+71.5%)
!Quality 56/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +4.8 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 12.5% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1116 – $0.4300 · fair‑value band $0.3800 – $0.7900 · the $0.3149 price screens below the $0.5400 fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Shougang Fushan Resources Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in coking coal mining and the production and sale of coking coal products in the People's Republic of China.
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Shougang Fushan Resources Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in coking coal mining and the production and sale of coking coal products in the People's Republic of China. The company owns and operates the Xingwu coal mine covering an area of approximately 11.6 square kilometers, the Jinjiazhuang coal mine covering an area of approximately 6.08 square kilometers, and the Zhaiyadi coal mine covering an area of approximately 13.9 square kilometers located in the Liulin County, Shanxi Province. It primarily serves steel manufacturers. The company was formerly known as Fushan International Energy Group Limited and changed its name to Shougang Fushan Resources Group Limited in May 2011. Shougang Fushan Resources Group Limited was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF) currently trades at $0.3149, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5400, implying the stock looks roughly 41.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $0.6800 per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the $0.3149 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $0.2700, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.3800 (bear) to $0.7900 (bull), the price of $0.3149 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Shougang Fushan Resources Group reported revenue of HK$5.1B in FY2025 versus HK$7.1B in FY2021, a compound −8.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$632M in FY2025, compounding −29.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.6B · P/E ratio 15.7 · P/S ratio 1.97 · EPS (TTM) $0.0200 · Net margin 12.5% · Return on equity 4.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.6% · Operating margin 7.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −54% fair-value upside, at 71%, FSHYF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.3800
Fair Value $0.5400
Bull $0.7900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.3800
$0.4800
$0.7800
73
Residual Income
$0.2900
$0.2900
$0.2900
72
Growth DCF
$0.3700
$0.5200
$0.7500
71
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.3800
$0.4800
$0.7800
73
Owner Earnings
$0.4500
$0.7600
$1.32
67
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.3300
$0.4500
$0.6800
66
5Y EBITDA Exit
$0.4100
$0.6100
$0.9900
67
5Y P/E Exit
$0.3800
$0.6200
$0.9500
63
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.3500
$0.5300
$0.6500
61
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.4100
$0.6900
$1.19
60
10Y P/E Exit
$0.3800
$0.6200
$1.00
56
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.1100
$0.7500
$1.05
59
Lynch FV
$0.3900
$0.5500
$0.7200
57
PEG = 1.0
$0.3900
$0.5500
$0.7200
54
EPV
$0.2600
$0.2700
$0.2800
70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.2700
$0.4800
$0.6600
64
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.2700
$0.4400
$0.5100
63
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.2000
$0.2700
$0.3400
63
P/S Multiple
$0.1400
$0.1900
$0.2400
58
P/B Multiple
$0.2000
$0.2700
$0.3400
55
EV/EBIT
$0.3700
$0.4300
$0.5000
63
EV/EBITDA
$0.4200
$0.5100
$0.6000
64
EV/Revenue
$0.3000
$0.3600
$0.4100
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.2100
$0.2800
$0.4100
51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.3700
$0.5200
$0.7500
71
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.3500
$0.4900
$0.7700
65
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.2900
$0.2900
$0.2900
72
ROIC Compounder
$0.2600
$0.2700
$0.2800
66
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.4800
$0.6800
$0.8900
64
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
56/100
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 88
Profitability
26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
77
Calm price path (market factor)
52W Momentum
100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
67
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.7% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.4%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−10.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−10.4% vs 19.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.33% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−11.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in HKD, Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −12.8% a year for the price and +1.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+3.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.9%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.2%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Coking Coal · 27 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Coal
Similar stocks
10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC | $89.51 | $14.38 | −84% |
| PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR | 1,460 IDR | 1,223 IDR | −16% |
| Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 | ¥3.51 | ¥1.24 | −65% |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR | $170.29 | $49.60 | −71% |
| Shanxi Coking Co 600740 | ¥3.76 | ¥1.81 | −52% |
| Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 | ¥5.22 | ¥3.06 | −41% |
| Yunnan Coal & Energy Co 600792 | ¥5.04 | ¥5.91 | +17% |
| Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 | ¥2.90 | ¥1.32 | −54% |
| SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC | $9.43 | $2.80 | −70% |
| Ramaco Resources, Inc METC | $8.27 | $1.80 | −78% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5400 versus the last price from Jun 18, 2026 of $0.3149, about +71% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FSHYF?
Our model-based fair value for Shougang Fushan Resources Group is $0.5400 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jun 18, 2026): $0.3149.
What is the quality score of FSHYF?
Shougang Fushan Resources Group has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.5400 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3800, optimistic scenario $0.7900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shougang Fushan Resources Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.5400, about +71% upside versus the last price from Jun 18, 2026 of $0.3149 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.3800, optimistic scenario $0.7900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF)?
Shougang Fushan Resources Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$5.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shougang Fushan Resources Group would have to grow free cash flow by -11.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FSHYF use?
Our models discount Shougang Fushan Resources Group at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.80, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shougang Fushan Resources Group that is -11.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shougang Fushan Resources Group grew +4.8 % a year. The price currently implies -11.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shougang Fushan Resources Group (-11.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.04 %: that much free cash flow Shougang Fushan Resources Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shougang Fushan Resources Group it is $0.5400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.3149. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shougang Fushan Resources Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, FSHYF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.3149, fair value $0.5400, a gap of about +71% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FSHYF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.3149); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.5400). For Shougang Fushan Resources Group the two are $0.2251 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shougang Fushan Resources Group worth?
The market values Shougang Fushan Resources Group at about $1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.3149; our models calculate a fair value of $0.5400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FSHYF?
Our models span a range for Shougang Fushan Resources Group: cautious scenario $0.3800, base $0.5400, optimistic $0.7900 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.3149). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FSHYF?
Shougang Fushan Resources Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.5400 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shougang Fushan Resources Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Shougang Fushan Resources Group?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Warrior Met Coal, Inc, PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk,, Shanxi Meijin Energy Co, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shougang Fushan Resources Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.3149, calculated fair value $0.5400 (+71%), Quality Score 56/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FSHYF calculated?
We run Shougang Fushan Resources Group through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.5400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Shougang Fushan Resources Group currently trades 42 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF)?
The latest price we hold is from Jun 18, 2026 and stands at $0.3149. Our model-based fair value is $0.5400, about +71% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shougang Fushan Resources Group right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.3800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($0.3800 to $0.7900) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Shougang Fushan Resources Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF)?
The market capitalisation of Shougang Fushan Resources Group is $1.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shougang Fushan Resources Group is 1.97 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF)?
Earnings per share at Shougang Fushan Resources Group are $0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF)?
The net margin of Shougang Fushan Resources Group is 12.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shougang Fushan Resources Group is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shougang Fushan Resources Group is 12.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF)?
The operating margin of Shougang Fushan Resources Group is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF)?
Revenue at Shougang Fushan Resources Group is growing +13.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF)?
Earnings per share at Shougang Fushan Resources Group are growing −65.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Shougang Fushan Resources Group (FSHYF) hold?
Shougang Fushan Resources Group holds more cash than debt, HK$6.6B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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