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Nuscale Power Corp (SMR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Nuscale Power Corp $2.53, price $8.68, upside -70.9%, quality 23 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · ISIN US67079K1007

NP Nuscale Power Corp logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Nuscale Power Corp

SMR · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $2.53 · Strongly overvalued (−71%)
!Quality 23/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +120.8 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/6)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Insider activity 46/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$53.43 $1.92 Fair Value $2.53 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.92 – $53.43 · fair‑value band $1.67 – $3.16 · the $8.68 price screens above the $2.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

NuScale Power Corporation provides small modular reactor technology solutions. It offers NuScale Power Module (NPM), a light water nuclear reactor that can generate 77 megawatts of electricity (MWe).

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NuScale Power Corporation provides small modular reactor technology solutions. It offers NuScale Power Module (NPM), a light water nuclear reactor that can generate 77 megawatts of electricity (MWe). The company also provides design and nuclear regulatory licensing basis information to construct and operate the power plant; and licensing, design, development, construction, operation, and maintenance of the power plant. In addition, it offers regulatory licensing support services; start-up testing and commissioning support; accredited training programs to support initial and ongoing power plant operations; management of all aspects of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission required inspections, tests, analysis, and acceptance criteria process; NuScale Power Module mechanical handling; initial and ongoing fuel bundle loading and movement; design engineering management during commercial operation; operations and maintenance program management; procurement and spare parts management; nuclear fuel management, including reload analysis; and outage planning and execution support services. The company has a strategic partnership with Ebara Elliott Energy for the development, demonstration, and testing of industrial scale compressors using power modules. NuScale Power Corporation was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Corvallis, Oregon.

Stock analysis

Nuscale Power Corp (SMR) currently trades at $8.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.53, implying the stock looks roughly 243.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 89/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $1.67 (bear) to $3.16 (bull), the price of $8.68 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Nuscale Power Corp reported revenue of $31.5M in FY2025 versus $2.9M in FY2021, a compound +82.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$356M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $2.9B · EPS (TTM) $−2.14 · Return on equity −83.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −81.3% · Operating margin −10,181% · Revenue (TTM) $18.7M · Revenue growth (YoY) −95.8% · Free cash flow −$460M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 84% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −71%, SMR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.67 Fair Value $2.53 Bull $3.16
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.69 $2.26 $3.38 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.69 $2.26 $3.38 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 6

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+120.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+109.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−26,473.8% (2020) → −2,190.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

SMR screens 244% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 827 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −14% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −96% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.48× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.28 $194.25 −80%
SIE SIE €274.80 €150.21 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $442.49 $172.75 −61%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $971.21 $418.76 −57%
Cummins Inc CMI $524.65 $359.38 −32%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $273.42 $151.39 −45%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $154.59 $62.15 −60%
AMETEK, Inc AME $245.41 $125.80 −49%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $432.89 $138.24 −68%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 383.50 kr 193.39 −50%

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Nuscale Power Corp · Fair Value
$2.53 −244%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nuscale Power Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMR

Frequently asked questions

Is Nuscale Power Corp (SMR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.53 versus a price of $8.68, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SMR?
Our model-based fair value for Nuscale Power Corp is $2.53 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.68.
What is the quality score of SMR?
Nuscale Power Corp has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nuscale Power Corp (SMR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.53 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.67, optimistic scenario $3.16. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nuscale Power Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.53, about −71% upside versus a price of $8.68 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.67, optimistic scenario $3.16. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nuscale Power Corp (SMR)?
Nuscale Power Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $18.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nuscale Power Corp (SMR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nuscale Power Corp it is $2.53 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $8.68. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nuscale Power Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SMR trades above its calculated fair value: price $8.68, fair value $2.53, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SMR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.53). For Nuscale Power Corp the two are $6.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nuscale Power Corp worth?
The market values Nuscale Power Corp at about $2.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $8.68; our models calculate a fair value of $2.53 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SMR?
Our models span a range for Nuscale Power Corp: cautious scenario $1.67, base $2.53, optimistic $3.16 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $8.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nuscale Power Corp (SMR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nuscale Power Corp (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −83.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 23/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SMR from its 52-week high?
Nuscale Power Corp trades at $8.68, about 84% below its 52-week high of $53.43 and 14% above the low of $7.59 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.53 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nuscale Power Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nuscale Power Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $8.68, calculated fair value $2.53 (−71%), Quality Score 23/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SMR calculated?
We run Nuscale Power Corp through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.53, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Nuscale Power Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nuscale Power Corp (SMR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $8.68. Our model-based fair value is $2.53, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nuscale Power Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($1.67 to $3.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Nuscale Power Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Nuscale Power Corp (SMR)?
The market capitalisation of Nuscale Power Corp is $2.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Nuscale Power Corp (SMR)?
Earnings per share at Nuscale Power Corp are $−2.14. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Nuscale Power Corp (SMR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nuscale Power Corp is −83.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nuscale Power Corp (SMR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nuscale Power Corp is −81.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nuscale Power Corp (SMR)?
The operating margin of Nuscale Power Corp is −10,181% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nuscale Power Corp (SMR)?
Revenue at Nuscale Power Corp is growing −95.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +38.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Nuscale Power Corp (SMR) generate?
The free cash flow of Nuscale Power Corp is −$460M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Nuscale Power Corp (SMR) hold?
Nuscale Power Corp holds more cash than debt, $836M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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