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NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.9B

NP NuScale Power Corporation logo NuScale Power Corporation SMR · US
Price$9.82
Fair Value$7.23
Upside-26.4%
Quality22/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/7)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range $4.20 – $9.58 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +12.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 26% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range ($4.20 to $9.58) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$53.43 $1.92 Fair Value $7.23 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.92 – $53.43 · fair‑value band $4.20 – $9.58 · the $9.82 price screens above the $7.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) currently trades at $9.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.23, implying the stock looks roughly 26.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $18.7M. It earns a return on equity of -83.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $836M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.20 (bear case) to $9.58 (bull case); at $9.82, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -26%, SMR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $5.96 $11.87 $17.97 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.96 $10.25 $12.53 61
NCAV (Graham) $1.69 $2.26 $3.38 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.96 $11.87 $17.97 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.96 $10.25 $12.53 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.69 $2.26 $3.38 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($10.25) versus Asset-Based ($2.26). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $18.7M
Revenue growth (YoY) -95.8%
Return on equity -83.1%
Free cash flow −$460M FY2025
Operating margin -10,181%
EPS (TTM) $-2.14
More key figures
Net cash $836M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 5

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NuScale Power Corporation provides small modular reactor technology solutions. It offers NuScale Power Module (NPM), a light water nuclear reactor that can generate 77 megawatts of electricity (MWe).

Full company description

NuScale Power Corporation provides small modular reactor technology solutions. It offers NuScale Power Module (NPM), a light water nuclear reactor that can generate 77 megawatts of electricity (MWe). The company also provides design and nuclear regulatory licensing basis information to construct and operate the power plant; and licensing, design, development, construction, operation, and maintenance of the power plant. In addition, it offers regulatory licensing support services; start-up testing and commissioning support; accredited training programs to support initial and ongoing power plant operations; management of all aspects of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission required inspections, tests, analysis, and acceptance criteria process; NuScale Power Module mechanical handling; initial and ongoing fuel bundle loading and movement; design engineering management during commercial operation; operations and maintenance program management; procurement and spare parts management; nuclear fuel management, including reload analysis; and outage planning and execution support services. The company has a strategic partnership with Ebara Elliott Energy for the development, demonstration, and testing of industrial scale compressors using power modules. NuScale Power Corporation was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Corvallis, Oregon.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NuScale Power Corporation reported revenue of $31.5M in FY2025 versus $2.9M in FY2021, a compound +82.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$356M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$31.5M
Latest YoY
−15.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+38.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+120.8%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+109.4%
Revenue +82.1%/yr
FY21 $2.9M
FY22 $11.8M
FY23 $22.8M
FY24 $37.0M
FY25 $31.5M
Net income
FY21 −$102M
FY22 −$57.1M
FY23 −$58.4M
FY24 −$137M
FY25 −$356M

SMR screens 26% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NuScale Power Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMR

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −26% · Above median
Return on assets -14% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -96% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.48× · Pricier than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
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Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.23 versus a price of $9.82, about −26% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SMR?
Our model-based fair value for NuScale Power Corporation is $7.23 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $9.82.
What is the quality score of SMR?
NuScale Power Corporation has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NuScale Power Corporation (SMR)?
NuScale Power Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $18.7M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SMR?
The net profit margin of NuScale Power Corporation is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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