NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $2.9B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +12.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($4.20 to $9.58) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.92 – $53.43 · fair‑value band $4.20 – $9.58 · the $9.82 price screens above the $7.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) currently trades at $9.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.23, implying the stock looks roughly 26.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $18.7M. It earns a return on equity of -83.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $836M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $4.20 (bear case) to $9.58 (bull case); at $9.82, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -26%, SMR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($10.25) versus Asset-Based ($2.26). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 5
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
NuScale Power Corporation provides small modular reactor technology solutions. It offers NuScale Power Module (NPM), a light water nuclear reactor that can generate 77 megawatts of electricity (MWe).
Full company description
NuScale Power Corporation provides small modular reactor technology solutions. It offers NuScale Power Module (NPM), a light water nuclear reactor that can generate 77 megawatts of electricity (MWe). The company also provides design and nuclear regulatory licensing basis information to construct and operate the power plant; and licensing, design, development, construction, operation, and maintenance of the power plant. In addition, it offers regulatory licensing support services; start-up testing and commissioning support; accredited training programs to support initial and ongoing power plant operations; management of all aspects of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission required inspections, tests, analysis, and acceptance criteria process; NuScale Power Module mechanical handling; initial and ongoing fuel bundle loading and movement; design engineering management during commercial operation; operations and maintenance program management; procurement and spare parts management; nuclear fuel management, including reload analysis; and outage planning and execution support services. The company has a strategic partnership with Ebara Elliott Energy for the development, demonstration, and testing of industrial scale compressors using power modules. NuScale Power Corporation was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Corvallis, Oregon.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
NuScale Power Corporation reported revenue of $31.5M in FY2025 versus $2.9M in FY2021, a compound +82.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$356M in FY2025.
SMR screens 26% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- NuScale Power (SMR) Expands Its Nuclear Fuel Plans With New Reactor Partnership
- SMR Q2 Earnings Meet Estimates, Revenues Miss on RoPower Timing
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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