Shanxi Coking Co (600740) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 9.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥1.75 to ¥2.35 (+34.2%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +6.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 34% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.19 – ¥10.81 · fair‑value band ¥1.76 – ¥2.93 · the ¥3.54 price screens above the ¥2.35 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
Shanxi Coking Co (600740) currently trades at ¥3.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.35, implying the stock looks roughly 33.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanxi Coking Co generated revenue of 6.0B CNY at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue declined 13.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.8%. Net debt stands at 4.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.76 (bear case) to ¥2.93 (bull case); at ¥3.54, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at -34%, 600740 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥4.00) versus Economic Profit (¥0.0200). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanxi Coking Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of coke and related chemical products in China. It offers benzene, carbon black, methanol, solid asphalt, naphthalene, liquid asphalt, coked toluene, methyl naphthalene oil, ammonium sulfate, dephenolized phenolic oil, coking xylene, washing oil, non-aromatic, neutral, phenate, light oil, sulfur, …
Full company description
Shanxi Coking Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of coke and related chemical products in China. It offers benzene, carbon black, methanol, solid asphalt, naphthalene, liquid asphalt, coked toluene, methyl naphthalene oil, ammonium sulfate, dephenolized phenolic oil, coking xylene, washing oil, non-aromatic, neutral, phenate, light oil, sulfur, molten sulfur, and anthracene oil. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Linfen, China. Shanxi Coking Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Shanxi Coking Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Shanxi Coking Co reported revenue of ¥7.5B in FY2024 versus ¥7.1B in FY2020, a compound +1.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥263M in FY2024, compounding −30.0%/yr from FY2020.
600740 screens 34% overvalued. Compare with PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, →
Peer Group
Coking Coal · 28 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR | 1,515 IDR | 1,267 IDR | -16% |
| Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC | $78.91 | $18.35 | -77% |
| Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 | ¥3.34 | ¥1.24 | -63% |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR | $143.80 | $45.29 | -69% |
| Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 | HK$2.39 | HK$2.34 | -2% |
| Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 | ¥5.41 | ¥1.72 | -68% |
| Ramaco Resources, Inc METC | $12.80 | $1.74 | -86% |
| Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 | ¥2.63 | ¥1.91 | -27% |
| SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC | $8.37 | $3.67 | -56% |
| Shandong Jinling Mining Co 000655 | ¥6.50 | ¥6.54 | +1% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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