GCL Global Holdings (GCLWW) Fair Value & Analysis
US · Market cap $477K
Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 29, 2026, revised from $0.0411 to $0.0317 (−22.8%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −26.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0218). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.0218 to $0.0396) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (17 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
17‑month range $0.0198 – $0.1240 · fair‑value band $0.0218 – $0.0396 · the $0.0198 price screens below the $0.0317 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.
Analysis
GCL Global Holdings (GCLWW) currently trades at $0.0198, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0317, implying the stock looks roughly 60.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality). Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, GCL Global Holdings generated revenue of $190M at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue grew 93.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. Net debt stands at $1.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0218 (bear case) to $0.0396 (bull case); at $0.0198, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($1.71) versus Multiples ($0.1000). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GCL Global Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, publishes, distributes, and markets video games and other entertainment content in Asia, Europe, the United States, and Latin America.
Full company description
GCL Global Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, publishes, distributes, and markets video games and other entertainment content in Asia, Europe, the United States, and Latin America. The company operates through three segments: Distribution and Sale of PC and Console Games; Game Publishing; and Video Marketing Campaign and Social Media Advertising Services. It offers a portfolio of digital and physical content to bridge cultures and audiences by introducing Asian-developed IP to a global audience across consoles, PCs, and streaming platforms, as well as media and content advertising services for small and medium-sized enterprises and government agencies. The company is headquartered in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GCL Global Holdings reported revenue of $142M in FY2025 versus $65.8M in FY2022, a compound +29.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.0M in FY2025.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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