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GCL Global Holdings (GCLWW) Fair Value & Analysis

US · Market cap $477K

GG GCL Global Holdings logo GCL Global Holdings GCLWW · US
Price$0.0198
Fair Value$0.0317
Upside+60.1%
Quality58/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 15/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0218 – $0.0396 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 29, 2026, revised from $0.0411 to $0.0317 (−22.8%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −26.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0218). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.0218 to $0.0396) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (17 months)

$0.1240 $0.0198 Fair Value $0.0317 Feb 2025 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

17‑month range $0.0198 – $0.1240 · fair‑value band $0.0218 – $0.0396 · the $0.0198 price screens below the $0.0317 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

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Analysis

GCL Global Holdings (GCLWW) currently trades at $0.0198, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0317, implying the stock looks roughly 60.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality). Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, GCL Global Holdings generated revenue of $190M at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue grew 93.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. Net debt stands at $1.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0218 (bear case) to $0.0396 (bull case); at $0.0198, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA $0.0600 $0.1000 $0.1500 54
NCAV (Graham) $0.3200 $0.4300 $0.6400 50
Owner Earnings $0.8300 $1.71 $3.24 31
All 3 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.8300 $1.71 $3.24 31
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $0.0600 $0.1000 $0.1500 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3200 $0.4300 $0.6400 50

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($1.71) versus Multiples ($0.1000). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $190M
Revenue growth (YoY) +93.9%
Net margin 0.5%
Return on equity 1.2%
Free cash flow −$661K FY2025
Operating margin -6.7%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +3,699%
Net debt $1.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

GCL Global Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, publishes, distributes, and markets video games and other entertainment content in Asia, Europe, the United States, and Latin America.

Full company description

GCL Global Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, publishes, distributes, and markets video games and other entertainment content in Asia, Europe, the United States, and Latin America. The company operates through three segments: Distribution and Sale of PC and Console Games; Game Publishing; and Video Marketing Campaign and Social Media Advertising Services. It offers a portfolio of digital and physical content to bridge cultures and audiences by introducing Asian-developed IP to a global audience across consoles, PCs, and streaming platforms, as well as media and content advertising services for small and medium-sized enterprises and government agencies. The company is headquartered in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GCL Global Holdings reported revenue of $142M in FY2025 versus $65.8M in FY2022, a compound +29.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$142M
Latest YoY
+45.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.2%
Revenue +29.2%/yr
FY22 $65.8M
FY23 $77.4M
FY24 $97.5M
FY25 $142M
Net income
FY22 $4.6M
FY23 $2.0M
FY24 −$1.4M
FY25 −$1.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GCL Global Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GCLWW

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 5 · sector 0
HEALTH 93 · sector 0
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 0

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is GCL Global Holdings (GCLWW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0317 versus a price of $0.0198, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GCLWW?
Our model-based fair value for GCL Global Holdings is $0.0317 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0198.
What is the quality score of GCLWW?
GCL Global Holdings has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of GCL Global Holdings (GCLWW)?
GCL Global Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $190M (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GCLWW?
The net profit margin of GCL Global Holdings is about 0.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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