Grifal S.p.A (GRAL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · IT · Market cap €7.2M
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price −6.9% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range €0.5752 – €1.65 · fair‑value band €0.1700 – €0.6800 · the €0.6000 price screens above the €0.5900 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Grifal S.p.A (GRAL) currently trades at €0.6000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.5900 — implying the stock looks roughly 1.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 92/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Grifal S.p.A generated revenue of €36.5M at a net margin of -8.5%. Revenue declined 34.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -18.6%. Net debt stands at €21.4M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Grifal S.p.A. provides packaging solutions in Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company offers corrugated cardboard packaging; cushion paper packaging, including cushion paper wrap, thermal, bottles, box, profiles, strips, and roll up products; and protective packaging solutions under the cArtù and Mondaplen brands. Grifal S.p.A. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Cologno Al Serio, Italy. Grifal S.p.A. is a subsidiary of G-Quattronove S.R.L.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Grifal S.p.A reported revenue of €39.0M in FY2024 versus €17.2M in FY2020, a compound +22.7%/yr. Reported net income was €150K in FY2024.
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Similar stocks
6 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smurfit Kappa Group SMFTF | $44.20 | $27.40 | -38% |
| Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW | $45.39 | $26.28 | -42% |
| Packaging Corporation PKG | $222.82 | $105.48 | -53% |
| International Paper Company IP | $36.89 | $84.00 | +128% |
| Amcor plc AMCR | $40.68 | $18.07 | -56% |
| Ball Corporation B1LL34 | R$141.68 | R$104.18 | -26% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.