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Hawthorn Resources Limited (HAW) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$31.5M

HR Hawthorn Resources Limited HAW · AU
PriceA$0.0680
Fair ValueA$0.0558
Upside-18.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0558 – A$0.0558

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from A$0.0600 to A$0.0558 (−7.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −31.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$0.1472 A$0.0518 Fair Value A$0.0558 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$0.0518 – A$0.1472 · the A$0.0680 price screens above the A$0.0558 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Hawthorn Resources Limited (HAW) currently trades at A$0.0680, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0558 — implying the stock looks roughly 18.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$607K. Revenue declined 66.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$12.6M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$607K
Revenue growth (YoY) -66.2%
Net margin -108%
Return on equity -4.8%
Free cash flow −A$373K FY2025
Operating margin -110%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -56.6%
Net cash A$12.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Hawthorn Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral resources in Australia. The company explores for iron ore, gold, magnetite, lithium, nickel, copper, and other base metals. It holds a 70% interest in the Trouser Legs Mining Joint Venture Project, and a 37% interest in the Mt Bevan critical minerals project and 28% interest in the Mt Bevan magnetite project located in Central Yilgarn, Western Australia. The company also holds a 34% stake in a joint venture for the exploration and extraction of other critical minerals, including lithium, alongside Legacy Iron Ore Limited and Hancock Magnetite Holdings Pty Ltd. Hawthorn Resources Limited was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hawthorn Resources Limited reported revenue of A$1.1M in FY2025 versus A$92.1K in FY2021, a compound +86.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$342K in FY2025.

Revenue +86.3%/yr
FY21 A$92.1K
FY22 A$5.6M
FY23 A$326K
FY24 A$674K
FY25 A$1.1M
Net income
FY21 −A$1.7M
FY22 A$927K
FY23 A$85.0K
FY24 −A$537K
FY25 −A$342K

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Barrick Mining Corporation B $40.14 $64.02 +59%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Hawthorn Resources Limited (HAW) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0558 versus a price of A$0.0680 — about −18% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of HAW?
Our 21-model fair value for Hawthorn Resources Limited is A$0.0558 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0680.
What is the quality score of HAW?
Hawthorn Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Hawthorn Resources Limited (HAW)?
Hawthorn Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$607K (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HAW?
The net profit margin of Hawthorn Resources Limited is about -108.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.