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HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of HCL Technologies Limited ₹1,771, price ₹1,259, upside +40.6%, quality 78 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · IN · ISIN INE860A01027

HT Broad data Sep 27, 2026

HCL Technologies Limited

HCLTECH · BSE

Undervalued, solidFair Value upside is positive and quality is strong.

✓Fair value ₹1,771 · Undervalued (+40.6%)
✓Quality 78/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +163.4 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Wide moat 72/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹1,860 ₹744.65 Fair Value ₹1,771 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹744.65 – ₹1,860 · fair‑value band ₹1,174 – ₹2,989 · the ₹1,259 price screens below the ₹1,771 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

HCL Technologies Limited offers software development, business process outsourcing, and infrastructure management services worldwide. It operates through IT and Business Services; Engineering and R&D Services; and HCL Software segments.

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HCL Technologies Limited offers software development, business process outsourcing, and infrastructure management services worldwide. It operates through IT and Business Services; Engineering and R&D Services; and HCL Software segments. It offers digital business services, which includes digital consulting, data and AI, application development, maintenance, and modernization, software as a service, automation and integration, and enterprise application; and digital foundation services including digital foundation consulting and workplace, hybrid cloud, cybersecurity, network, intelligent operator, and unified services management services. The company provides digital process operations, such as lending solution, supply chain management, finance and accounting, digital and content, and cognitive automation; and engineering and R&D services, which includes digital engineering, manufacturing operation, product engineering, and industry verticals. It offers CloudSMART, an adaptive portfolio of solutions enabling continuous modernization; IoT WoRKS, which offers digital transformation services; Career Shaper, earning and assessment platform for driving talent transformation; and HCLTech X, a cloud based digital platform that integrates content, commerce, and engagement tools. The company also provides engineering services and solutions for software, embedded, mechanical; modernized software products; and artificial intelligence solutions. It serves aerospace and defense, energy and utilities, manufacturing, public sector, telecom, media and entertainment, captive business services, technology, mining and natural resources, retail, consumer goods, life sciences and healthcare, oil and gas, banking, insurance, capital markets, fintech, and financial crime compliance and risk, as well as travel, transport, logistics, and hospitality industries. It has strategic partnership with Intellect Design Arena Ltd. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Noida, India.

Stock analysis

HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH) currently trades at ₹1,259, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,771, implying the stock looks roughly 28.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹3,109 per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹1,259 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹186.12, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ₹1,174 (bear) to ₹2,989 (bull), the price of ₹1,259 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

HCL Technologies Limited reported revenue of ₹1.3T in FY2026 versus ₹11.3B in FY2022, a compound +227.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹166B in FY2026, compounding +210.9%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap ₹3.4T (≈ $35.6B) · P/E ratio 19.6 · P/S ratio 2.51 · EPS (TTM) ₹64.23 · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin 12.8% · Return on equity 24.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 28.5%.

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at 41%, HCLTECH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹1,174 Fair Value ₹1,771 Bull ₹2,989
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹31.37 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV ₹1,323 ₹1,539 ₹1,728 74
FCF DCF ₹1,233 ₹1,923 ₹4,119 73
Growth DCF ₹1,162 ₹2,276 ₹4,101 72
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹1,233 ₹1,923 ₹4,119 73
Owner Earnings ₹1,211 ₹2,718 ₹5,881 68
5Y Revenue Exit ₹1,471 ₹2,665 ₹5,176 66
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹2,062 ₹3,860 ₹7,397 69
5Y P/E Exit ₹1,335 ₹2,987 ₹5,246 65
10Y Revenue Exit ₹1,367 ₹3,291 ₹4,618 63
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹1,860 ₹4,565 ₹9,427 61
10Y P/E Exit ₹1,330 ₹3,000 ₹5,762 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹418.24 ₹2,917 ₹4,093 61
Lynch FV ₹1,507 ₹2,153 ₹2,799 59
PEG = 1.0 ₹1,507 ₹2,153 ₹2,799 55
EPV ₹1,323 ₹1,539 ₹1,728 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹496.05 ₹1,031 ₹1,636 64
DDM Multi-Stage ₹496.05 ₹869.70 ₹1,082 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹1,292 ₹1,722 ₹2,153 63
P/S Multiple ₹784.20 ₹1,046 ₹1,307 58
P/B Multiple ₹784.20 ₹1,046 ₹1,307 55
EV/EBIT ₹2,746 ₹3,651 ₹4,556 66
EV/EBITDA ₹2,284 ₹3,036 ₹3,787 67
EV/Revenue ₹1,403 ₹1,992 ₹2,580 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹138.90 ₹186.12 ₹277.80 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹1,162 ₹2,276 ₹4,101 72
Rev-Margin DCF ₹1,629 ₹3,041 ₹5,985 66
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹382.63 ₹458.02 ₹1,227 65
ROIC Compounder ₹1,631 ₹2,366 ₹3,313 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹2,176 ₹3,109 ₹4,041 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 78/100

Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 80
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+163.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +70.6% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+63.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+4.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 31%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.8% a year for the price and +1.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+9.4%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+6.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.0%
Projected 2031 (sales)+4.5%

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Values & ESG

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HCL Technologies Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HCLTECH.BSE

Frequently asked questions

Is HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,771 versus a price of ₹1,259, about +41% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HCLTECH?
Our model-based fair value for HCL Technologies Limited is ₹1,771 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,259.
What is the quality score of HCLTECH?
HCL Technologies Limited has a Quality Score of 78/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹1,771 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹1,174, optimistic scenario ₹2,989. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HCL Technologies Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹1,771, about +41% upside versus a price of ₹1,259 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹1,174, optimistic scenario ₹2,989. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does HCL Technologies Limited pay a dividend?
HCL Technologies Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.05% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, HCL Technologies Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +9.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +163.4 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HCLTECH use?
Our models discount HCL Technologies Limited at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.00, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For HCL Technologies Limited that is +9.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at HCL Technologies Limited grew +163.4 % a year. The price currently implies +9.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into HCL Technologies Limited (+9.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.44 %: that much free cash flow HCL Technologies Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HCL Technologies Limited it is ₹1,771 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹1,259. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is HCL Technologies Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, HCLTECH trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹1,259, fair value ₹1,771, a gap of about +41% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HCLTECH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹1,259); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹1,771). For HCL Technologies Limited the two are ₹511.74 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HCL Technologies Limited worth?
The market values HCL Technologies Limited at about ₹3.4T (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹1,259; our models calculate a fair value of ₹1,771 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HCLTECH?
Our models span a range for HCL Technologies Limited: cautious scenario ₹1,174, base ₹1,771, optimistic ₹2,989 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹1,259). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is HCLTECH from its 52-week high?
HCL Technologies Limited trades at ₹1,259, about 25% below its 52-week high of ₹1,681 and 22% above the low of ₹1,035 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹1,771 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HCL Technologies Limited?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HCL Technologies Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹1,259, calculated fair value ₹1,771 (+41%), Quality Score 78/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HCLTECH calculated?
We run HCL Technologies Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹1,771, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. HCL Technologies Limited currently trades 41 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was ₹1,259. Our model-based fair value is ₹1,771, about +41% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HCL Technologies Limited right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (78/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. A fairly wide model range (₹1,174 to ₹2,989) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of HCL Technologies Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH)?
The market capitalisation of HCL Technologies Limited is ₹3.4T (≈ $35.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of HCL Technologies Limited is 19.6. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of HCL Technologies Limited is 2.51 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH)?
Earnings per share at HCL Technologies Limited are ₹64.23 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH)?
The dividend yield of HCL Technologies Limited is 0.0% (payout 1.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH)?
The net margin of HCL Technologies Limited is 12.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of HCL Technologies Limited is 24.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HCL Technologies Limited is 28.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH)?
The operating margin of HCL Technologies Limited is 16.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH)?
Revenue at HCL Technologies Limited is growing +3.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH)?
Earnings per share at HCL Technologies Limited are growing +8.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH) carry?
The net debt of HCL Technologies Limited is ₹33.0M (fiscal year 2020, ≈ 0.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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