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Hilton Food Group (HFG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · GB · Market cap 454M GBX

HF Hilton Food Group HFG · LSE
Price£5.09
Fair Value£5.92
Upside+16.4%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range £4.14 – £7.73

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from £5.41 to £5.92 (+9.4%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price +0.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

£8.13 £4.30 Fair Value £5.92 Jul 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range £4.30 – £8.13 · fair‑value band £4.14 – £7.73 · the £5.09 price screens below the £5.92 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Hilton Food Group (HFG) currently trades at £5.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £5.92 — implying the stock looks roughly 16.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hilton Food Group generated revenue of £4.2B at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue grew 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.8%. Net debt stands at £325M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.2B GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.6%
Net margin 1.9%
Return on equity 13.8%
Free cash flow −18.7M GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 9.9
More key figures
Operating margin 1.3%
EPS (TTM) £0.5100
Dividend yield 6.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -1.6%
Net debt 325M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Hilton Food Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the multi-protein food business. The company offers meat products; seafood products, such as smoked salmon, wet fish, shellfish, coated fish, and fish cakes; vegan and vegetarian food, including meat-free replacement burgers, meatballs, cutlets, poultry, kievs, steaks, rashers, and seafood and sticks; and straight-to-oven trays, ready meals, soups, sandwiches, and wraps. It also provides supply chain services comprising warehouse automation, logistics, and other value-adding services. The company supplies its products for international food retailers. It operates in the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Belgium, the Republic of Ireland, Sweden, Denmark, Central Europe, and APAC countries. The company was founded in 1994 and is based in Huntingdon, the United Kingdom.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hilton Food Group reported revenue of £4.2B in FY2025 versus £3.3B in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was £47.9M in FY2025, compounding +6.6%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +6.3%/yr
FY21 £3.3B
FY22 £3.8B
FY23 £4.0B
FY24 £4.0B
FY25 £4.2B
Net income +6.6%/yr
FY21 £37.1M
FY22 £17.7M
FY23 £36.4M
FY24 £39.3M
FY25 £47.9M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hilton Food Group (HFG) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £5.92 versus a price of £5.09 — about +16% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of HFG?
Our 21-model fair value for Hilton Food Group is £5.92 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £5.09.
What is the quality score of HFG?
Hilton Food Group has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Hilton Food Group (HFG)?
Hilton Food Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £4.2B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HFG?
The net profit margin of Hilton Food Group is about 1.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hilton Food Group pay a dividend?
Hilton Food Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.80% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.