Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Britannia Industries Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹2,869 – ₹6,363 · fair‑value band ₹2,893 – ₹9,217 · the ₹4,998 price screens below the ₹5,278 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
Britannia Industries Limited manufactures and sells various food products in India and internationally.
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Britannia Industries Limited manufactures and sells various food products in India and internationally. The company offers biscuits under the Good Day, Marie Gold, NutriChoice, Milk Bikis, Tiger, 50-50, Jim Jam, Britannia Bourbon, Little Hearts, Treat, Pure Magic, Nice Time, and Biscafe brand names; cakes under the Muffills, Fudge It, Gobbles, Layerz, Tiffin Fun, Rollyo, and Nut & Raisin Romance Cake brand names; rusks under the Toastea brand; center filled croissants under the Treat Croissant brand; wafers under Treat Creme Wafers brand; and Snacks under Time Pass brand name. It also offers dairy products, such as cheese and dairy whitener, as well as gourmet, wheat flour, and white breads under Britannia brand; milkshakes, lassi, and flavored milk under Winkin' Cow brand; paneer and dahi under Come Alive brand; and nutritious bars under Be You Protein Bars brand name. The company exports its products to approximately 80 countries worldwide. Britannia Industries Limited was founded in 1892 and is based in Bengaluru, India.
Stock analysis
Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA) currently trades at ₹4,998, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹5,278, implying the stock looks roughly 5.3% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹4,815 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹4,998 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹885.95, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹2,893 (bear) to ₹9,217 (bull), the price of ₹4,998 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Britannia Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹192B in FY2026 versus ₹141B in FY2022, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹25.3B in FY2026, compounding +13.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹1.3T (≈ $13.6B) · P/E ratio 47.6 · P/S ratio 6.30 · EPS (TTM) ₹104.97 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 13.2% · Return on equity 53.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 54.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at 6%, BRITANNIA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹2,893Fair Value ₹5,278Bull ₹9,217
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹6.98 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+12.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.11% vs 12%, steady
Profit margin 2005 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 17%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+8.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Compare Britannia Industries Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 650 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−34% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)53% · Top 25%
Return on assets22% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
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Is Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹5,278 versus a price of ₹4,998, about +6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BRITANNIA?
Our model-based fair value for Britannia Industries Limited is ₹5,278 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹4,998.
What is the quality score of BRITANNIA?
Britannia Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹5,278 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹2,893, optimistic scenario ₹9,217. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Britannia Industries Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹5,278, about +6% upside versus a price of ₹4,998 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ₹2,893, optimistic scenario ₹9,217. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA)?
Britannia Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹192B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Britannia Industries Limited pay a dividend?
Britannia Industries Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.81% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Britannia Industries Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +28.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.9 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BRITANNIA use?
Our models discount Britannia Industries Limited at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.47, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Britannia Industries Limited that is +28.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Britannia Industries Limited grew +7.9 % a year. The price currently implies +28.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Britannia Industries Limited (+28.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.03 %: that much free cash flow Britannia Industries Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Britannia Industries Limited it is ₹5,278 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of ₹4,998. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Britannia Industries Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, BRITANNIA trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹4,998, fair value ₹5,278, a gap of about +6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BRITANNIA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹4,998); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹5,278). For Britannia Industries Limited the two are ₹279.84 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Britannia Industries Limited worth?
The market values Britannia Industries Limited at about ₹1.3T (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is ₹4,998; our models calculate a fair value of ₹5,278 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BRITANNIA?
Our models span a range for Britannia Industries Limited: cautious scenario ₹2,893, base ₹5,278, optimistic ₹9,217 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price ₹4,998). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BRITANNIA?
Britannia Industries Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 47.6 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹5,278 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 25.5, P/S 6.8, EV/EBITDA 36.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Britannia Industries Limited (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 53.3%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 74/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BRITANNIA from its 52-week high?
Britannia Industries Limited trades at ₹4,998, about 21% below its 52-week high of ₹6,336 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹5,278 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Britannia Industries Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Britannia Industries Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price ₹4,998, calculated fair value ₹5,278 (+6%), Quality Score 74/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BRITANNIA calculated?
We run Britannia Industries Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹5,278, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Britannia Industries Limited currently trades 6 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was ₹4,998. Our model-based fair value is ₹5,278, about +6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Britannia Industries Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide (₹2,893 to ₹9,217). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Where does the earnings growth of Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA) come from?
Earnings per share at Britannia Industries Limited grew +12.3 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.8 %, EBIT margin −0.5 %, tax rate +0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Britannia Industries Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA)?
The market capitalisation of Britannia Industries Limited is ₹1.3T (≈ $13.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Britannia Industries Limited is 6.30 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA)?
Earnings per share at Britannia Industries Limited are ₹104.97 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 47.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA)?
The dividend yield of Britannia Industries Limited is 1.8% (payout 86.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA)?
The net margin of Britannia Industries Limited is 13.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Britannia Industries Limited is 53.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Britannia Industries Limited is 54.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA)?
The operating margin of Britannia Industries Limited is 16.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA)?
Revenue at Britannia Industries Limited is growing +7.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA)?
Earnings per share at Britannia Industries Limited are growing +21.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA) carry?
The net debt of Britannia Industries Limited is ₹10.3B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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