Hitek Global Inc. (HKIT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Hitek Global Inc. $0.48, price $2.48, upside -80.7%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $0.4800 · Strongly overvalued (−80.7%)
!Quality 52/100
!Expensive Growth(revenue 5y +2.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers(2/9)
!Narrow moat18/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
42‑month range $2.42 – $127,500 · fair‑value band $0.3400 – $0.6200 · the $2.48 price screens above the $0.4800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Hitek Global Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides information technology (IT) consulting and solutions services to small and medium, and large businesses in China.
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Hitek Global Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides information technology (IT) consulting and solutions services to small and medium, and large businesses in China. The company offers anti-counterfeiting tax control system (ACTCS) tax devices, including golden tax disk and printers, ACTCS services, and IT services; business consulting services; and sells software and hardware to large businesses, such as laptops, printers, desktop computers, and related accessories, as well as internet servers, cameras, and monitors. It also sells communication interface system, a software used by petrochemical and coal businesses to collect industrial, electricity, facility pressure, and temperature statistics and convert to readable format for analytical purposes. In addition, the company provides IT maintenance services. Hitek Global Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Xiamen, China.
Stock analysis
Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share (HKIT) currently trades at $2.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4800, 80.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $2.76 per share, and 1 of the 9 models we run sit above the $2.48 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.1100, and 8 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.3400 (bear) to $0.6200 (bull), the price of $2.48 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share reported revenue of $6.5M in FY2025 versus $6.5M in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was $180K in FY2025, compounding −42.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $21.8M · P/E ratio 0.0 · EPS (TTM) $71.46 · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4% · Operating margin −7.7% · Revenue (TTM) $6.5M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 100% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at −81%, HKIT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.1100 to $2.76). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $0.3400Fair Value $0.4800Bull $0.6200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($54.04 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.31/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+125.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−30.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−30.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−30.6% vs −1.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.30% → −27%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.1%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 458 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−81.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.5% · Below median
Return on assets−2.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)2.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−7.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth440.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)0.0× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 44
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 29
PAST (return on equity)2· sector 37
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 43
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HKIT
Frequently asked questions
Is Hitek Global Inc. (HKIT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4800 versus a price of $2.48, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HKIT?
Our model-based fair value for Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share is $0.4800 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.48.
What is the quality score of HKIT?
Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hitek Global Inc. (HKIT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4800 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3400, optimistic scenario $0.6200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4800, about −81% upside versus a price of $2.48 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.3400, optimistic scenario $0.6200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hitek Global Inc. (HKIT)?
Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hitek Global Inc. (HKIT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share it is $0.4800 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $2.48. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, HKIT trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.48, fair value $0.4800, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HKIT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.48); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4800). For Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share the two are $2.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share worth?
The market values Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share at about $21.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $2.48; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HKIT?
Our models span a range for Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share: cautious scenario $0.3400, base $0.4800, optimistic $0.6200 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $2.48). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HKIT?
Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.4800 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hitek Global Inc. (HKIT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 0.5%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HKIT from its 52-week high?
Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share trades at $2.48, about 100% below its 52-week high of $15,563 and 2% above the low of $2.42 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $2.48, calculated fair value $0.4800 (−81%), Quality Score 52/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HKIT calculated?
We run Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hitek Global Inc. (HKIT)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $2.48. Our model-based fair value is $0.4800, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.6200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($0.3400 to $0.6200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share
How large is the market capitalisation of Hitek Global Inc. (HKIT)?
The market capitalisation of Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share is $21.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Hitek Global Inc. (HKIT)?
Earnings per share at Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share are $71.46 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hitek Global Inc. (HKIT)?
The net margin of Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share is 2.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hitek Global Inc. (HKIT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share is 0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hitek Global Inc. (HKIT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share is 2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hitek Global Inc. (HKIT)?
The operating margin of Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share is −7.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hitek Global Inc. (HKIT)?
Revenue at Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share is growing +441% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hitek Global Inc. (HKIT)?
Earnings per share at Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share are growing −83.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hitek Global Inc. (HKIT) generate?
The free cash flow of Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share is −$1.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Hitek Global Inc. (HKIT) hold?
Hitek Global Inc. Ordinary Share holds more cash than debt, $967K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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