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High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of High Liner Foods Incorporated $8.07, price $9.70, upside -16.8%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
High Liner Foods Incorporated
HLNFF · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value $8.07 · Overvalued (−16.8%)
!Quality 51/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +8.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.7% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!5.2% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Narrow moat 35/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.93 – $13.28 · fair‑value band $5.93 – $9.84 · the $9.70 price screens above the $8.07 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
High Liner Foods Incorporated processes and markets prepared and packaged frozen seafood products in North America.
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High Liner Foods Incorporated processes and markets prepared and packaged frozen seafood products in North America. The company provides a range of frozen seafood products, including raw fillets and shellfish, and cooked shellfish; and value-added products, such as sauced, glazed, breaded and battered seafood, seafood entrees, and breaded cheese sticks under the High Liner, Fisher Boy, Sea Cuisine, C. Wirthy, Mirabel, Mrs. Paul's, Van de Kamp's, Signature, Catch of the Day, Icelandic Seafood, and FPI brands. It sells its products through distributors to retail and club stores; and foodservice distributors to hotels, restaurants, and healthcare and educational organizations, as well as through its website. High Liner Foods Incorporated was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Lunenburg, Canada.
Stock analysis
High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF) currently trades at $9.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.07, 16.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $22.85 per share, and 11 of the 16 models we run sit above the $9.70 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $4.98, and 5 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $5.93 (bear) to $9.84 (bull), the price of $9.70 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
High Liner Foods Incorporated reported revenue of $1.0B in FY2025 versus $875M in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was $37.2M in FY2025, compounding −3.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $290M · P/E ratio 9.9 · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) $0.9800 · Dividend yield 5.2% · Net margin 3.6% · Return on equity 7.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −17%, HLNFF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $5.93
Fair Value $8.07
Bull $9.84
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3584 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings
$8.09
$13.76
$20.38
76
Residual Income
$11.38
$11.96
$13.16
76
EPV
$4.48
$6.23
$7.65
73
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
$8.09
$13.76
$20.38
76
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$9.01
$22.12
$28.64
65
PEG = 1.0
$3.98
$5.68
$7.39
57
EPV
$4.48
$6.23
$7.65
73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$3.62
$5.59
$7.40
68
DDM Multi-Stage
$3.62
$4.98
$6.17
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$20.87
$27.82
$34.78
63
P/S Multiple
$16.89
$22.52
$28.15
58
P/B Multiple
$16.89
$22.52
$28.15
55
EV/EBIT
$19.21
$28.97
$38.72
65
EV/EBITDA
$20.81
$31.11
$41.40
66
EV/Revenue
$10.82
$19.78
$28.74
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$7.27
$9.74
$14.54
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$11.38
$11.96
$13.16
76
ROIC Compounder
$4.48
$6.23
$7.65
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$16.00
$22.85
$29.71
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
51/100
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Profitability
44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+13.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8.3% vs 2.5%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
HLNFF screens overvalued: fair value 17% below the price. Compare with Nestlé S.A →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 635 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 74.63 | CHF 59.51 | −20% |
| Danone S.A BN | €59.12 | €50.65 | −14% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥33.93 | ¥37.32 | +10% |
| The Kraft Heinz Company KHC | $23.45 | $29.20 | +25% |
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,363 | ₹724.74 | −47% |
| Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 | ¥26.90 | ¥41.84 | +56% |
| Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 | ¥24.55 | ¥9.98 | −59% |
| General Mills, Inc GIS | $31.67 | $34.59 | +9% |
| Wilmar International Limited F34 | 3.68 SGD | 5.14 SGD | +40% |
| Kerry Group KRZ | €85.55 | €59.96 | −30% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.07 versus a price of $9.70, about −17% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HLNFF?
Our model-based fair value for High Liner Foods Incorporated is $8.07 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $9.70.
What is the quality score of HLNFF?
High Liner Foods Incorporated has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.07 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.93, optimistic scenario $9.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the High Liner Foods Incorporated stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.07, about −17% upside versus a price of $9.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.93, optimistic scenario $9.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF)?
High Liner Foods Incorporated reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does High Liner Foods Incorporated pay a dividend?
High Liner Foods Incorporated currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.22% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For High Liner Foods Incorporated it is $8.07 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $9.70. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is High Liner Foods Incorporated stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HLNFF trades above its calculated fair value: price $9.70, fair value $8.07, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HLNFF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($9.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.07). For High Liner Foods Incorporated the two are $1.63 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is High Liner Foods Incorporated worth?
The market values High Liner Foods Incorporated at about $290M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $9.70; our models calculate a fair value of $8.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HLNFF?
Our models span a range for High Liner Foods Incorporated: cautious scenario $5.93, base $8.07, optimistic $9.84 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $9.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HLNFF?
High Liner Foods Incorporated trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $8.07 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 7.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF)?
Balance-sheet figures for High Liner Foods Incorporated (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.1%, debt of 0.69 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HLNFF from its 52-week high?
High Liner Foods Incorporated trades at $9.70, about 25% below its 52-week high of $12.89 and 7% above the low of $9.08 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $8.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to High Liner Foods Incorporated?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is High Liner Foods Incorporated stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $9.70, calculated fair value $8.07 (−17%), Quality Score 51/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HLNFF calculated?
We run High Liner Foods Incorporated through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $8.07, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. High Liner Foods Incorporated itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $9.70. Our model-based fair value is $8.07, about −17% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with High Liner Foods Incorporated right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF) come from?
Earnings per share at High Liner Foods Incorporated grew +3.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.1 %, EBIT margin +2.3 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of High Liner Foods Incorporated
How large is the market capitalisation of High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF)?
The market capitalisation of High Liner Foods Incorporated is $290M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of High Liner Foods Incorporated is 0.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF)?
Earnings per share at High Liner Foods Incorporated are $0.9800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF)?
The dividend yield of High Liner Foods Incorporated is 5.2% (payout 51.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF)?
The net margin of High Liner Foods Incorporated is 3.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of High Liner Foods Incorporated is 7.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of High Liner Foods Incorporated is 7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF)?
The operating margin of High Liner Foods Incorporated is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF)?
Revenue at High Liner Foods Incorporated is growing +24.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF)?
Earnings per share at High Liner Foods Incorporated are growing −46.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF) generate?
The free cash flow of High Liner Foods Incorporated is −$7.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does High Liner Foods Incorporated (HLNFF) carry?
The net debt of High Liner Foods Incorporated is $298M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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