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Harmony Gold Mining Company (HMY) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $10.7B

HG Harmony Gold Mining Company logo Harmony Gold Mining Company HMY · US
Price$15.41
Fair Value$23.68
Upside+53.7%
Quality60/100
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Evidence: High Range $16.91 – $33.36

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $25.87 to $23.68 (−8.5%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −8.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$24.47 $11.80 Fair Value $23.68 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $11.80 – $24.47 · fair‑value band $16.91 – $33.36 · the $15.41 price screens below the $23.68 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Harmony Gold Mining Company (HMY) currently trades at $15.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.68 — implying the stock looks roughly 53.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Harmony Gold Mining Company generated revenue of $81.2B at a net margin of 20.1%. Revenue grew 19.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 33.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $10.9B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $81.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.5%
Net margin 20.1%
Return on equity 33.5%
Free cash flow $10.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 10.7
More key figures
Operating margin 33.3%
EPS (TTM) $1.59
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +22.7%
Net cash $10.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited engages in the exploration, extraction, and processing of mineral properties in South Africa, Papua New Guinea, and Australia. The company explores for gold, uranium, silver, and copper deposits. It has nine underground operations in the Witwatersrand Basin; the Kraaipan Greenstone Belt; and various surface source operations in South Africa. In addition, the company owns interests in the Hidden Valley, an open-pit gold and silver mine; and the Wafi-Golpu project located in Morobe Province in Papua New Guinea. Further, it holds interest in Eva Copper Project located in Queensland, Australia. Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited was incorporated in 1950 and is based in Randfontein, South Africa.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Harmony Gold Mining Company reported revenue of $73.9B in FY2025 versus $41.7B in FY2021, a compound +15.4%/yr. Reported net income was $14.4B in FY2025, compounding +29.7%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +15.4%/yr
FY21 $41.7B
FY22 $42.6B
FY23 $49.3B
FY24 $61.4B
FY25 $73.9B
Net income +29.7%/yr
FY21 $5.1B
FY22 −$1.1B
FY23 $4.8B
FY24 $8.6B
FY25 $14.4B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

6 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $112.00 $141.64 +26%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥30.44 ¥62.26 +105%
NEM NEM A$143.47 A$188.70 +32%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $176.75 $225.34 +27%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $40.14 $64.02 +59%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp SII €105.35 €52.47 -50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Harmony Gold Mining Company (HMY) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $23.68 versus a price of $15.41 — about +54% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of HMY?
Our model-based fair value for Harmony Gold Mining Company is $23.68 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $15.41.
What is the quality score of HMY?
Harmony Gold Mining Company has a Quality Score of 60/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Harmony Gold Mining Company (HMY)?
Harmony Gold Mining Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $81.2B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HMY?
The net profit margin of Harmony Gold Mining Company is about 20.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Harmony Gold Mining Company pay a dividend?
Harmony Gold Mining Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.40% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.