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Harmoney Corp (HMY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · AU · Market cap A$74.2M

HC Harmoney Corp HMY · AU
PriceA$0.7500
Fair ValueA$0.5800
Upside-22.7%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 19.6% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range A$0.4400 – A$0.7300 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 20, 2026, revised from A$0.6900 to A$0.5800 (−15.9%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −1.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 23% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.7300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$2.25 A$0.3050 Fair Value A$0.5800 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.3050 – A$2.25 · fair‑value band A$0.4400 – A$0.7300 · the A$0.7500 price screens above the A$0.5800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Harmoney Corp (HMY) currently trades at A$0.7500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.5800, implying the stock looks roughly 22.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Harmoney Corp generated revenue of A$48.9M at a net margin of 19.6%. Revenue grew 23.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.1%. Net debt stands at A$770M. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.4400 (bear case) to A$0.7300 (bull case); at A$0.7500, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -23%, HMY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF A$0.8700 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.8300 74
P/E Multiple A$0.5200 A$0.7000 A$0.8700 63
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.3600 A$2.54 A$3.57 54
Lynch FV A$1.14 A$1.63 A$2.11 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.5200 A$0.7000 A$0.8700 63
P/B Multiple A$0.3500 A$0.4700 A$0.5800 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.1700 A$0.2200 A$0.3300 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.8700 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.8300 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.3100 A$0.3700 A$0.7700 61

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (A$1.63) versus Asset-Based (A$0.2200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$48.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.4%
Net margin 19.6%
Return on equity 25.1%
Free cash flow A$30.2M FY2024
P/E ratio 8.0
More key figures
Operating margin 10.1%
EPS (TTM) A$0.0900
EPS growth (YoY) +200%
Net debt A$770M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Harmoney Corp Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides secured and unsecured personal loans through online in Australia and New Zealand. The company's personal loans are used for various purposes, including debt consolidation, home improvement, wedding, car, holiday, education, business, and medical expenses.

Full company description

Harmoney Corp Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides secured and unsecured personal loans through online in Australia and New Zealand. The company's personal loans are used for various purposes, including debt consolidation, home improvement, wedding, car, holiday, education, business, and medical expenses. It also operates Stellare, an investment platform. Harmoney Corp Limited was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Auckland, New Zealand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Harmoney Corp reported revenue of A$132M in FY2024 versus A$38.3M in FY2020, a compound +36.2%/yr. Reported net income was A$5.5M in FY2024.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
A$132M
Latest YoY
−0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+51.1%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.0%
Revenue +36.2%/yr
FY20 A$38.3M
FY21 A$79.9M
FY22 A$107M
FY23 A$133M
FY24 A$132M
Net income
FY20 −A$27.0M
FY21 −A$20.9M
FY22 −A$7.6M
FY23 −A$13.2M
FY24 A$5.5M

HMY screens 23% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Harmoney Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HMY

Peer Group

Credit Services · 331 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −23% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 23% · Above median
Debt / equity 24.04× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.53× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.07× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 3 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 39
PAST 100 · sector 32
HEALTH 0 · sector 58
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Harmoney Corp (HMY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.5800 versus a price of A$0.7500, about −23% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HMY?
Our model-based fair value for Harmoney Corp is A$0.5800 (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.7500.
What is the quality score of HMY?
Harmoney Corp has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Harmoney Corp (HMY)?
Harmoney Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$48.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HMY?
The net profit margin of Harmoney Corp is about 19.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 19.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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