Harmony Biosciences Holdings (HRMY) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $2.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Share price +10.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $25.90 – $40.51 · fair‑value band $45.23 – $123.91 · the $36.84 price screens below the $60.30 fair value. As of Jul 12, 2026.
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Harmony Biosciences Holdings (HRMY) currently trades at $36.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $60.30, implying the stock looks roughly 63.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Harmony Biosciences Holdings generated revenue of $899M at a net margin of 16.2%. Revenue grew 16.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $513M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $45.23 (bear case) to $123.91 (bull case); at $36.84, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at 64%, HRMY screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc., a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing therapies for patients with rare neurological diseases in the United States. The company offers WAKIX (pitolisant), a molecule with a novel mechanism of action for the treatment of excessive daytime sleepiness in adult patients with narcolepsy. It also develops Pitolisant that is in Phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of Prader-Willi Syndrome (PWS); in Phase 2 clinical trial to treat Myotonic Dystrophy (DM1); and is in Phase 2 clinical trials for the treatment of Pitolisant Gastro-Resistant (GR) and Pitolisant High-Dose (HD). In addition, the company's products under development include BP1.15205, an orexin 2 receptor agonist for the treatment of narcolepsy and other potential indications; and HBS-102, a melanin-concentrating hormone receptor type 1 (MCHR1) antagonist. Further, it develops ZYN-002 that is in a Phase 3 registrational trial for the treatment …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Harmony Biosciences Holdings reported revenue of $868M in FY2025 versus $305M in FY2021, a compound +29.9%/yr. Reported net income was $159M in FY2025, compounding +46.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Harmony Biosciences To Report Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results On August 4, 2026
- HRMY Posts Preliminary Q2 Revenues, Announces CFO Transition
- Harmony Biosciences Preannounces Record Quarterly Revenue for Q2 2026, Reaffirms Full-Year 2026 Revenue Guidance, and Announces CFO Transiti
- Wall Street Analysts See a 27.35% Upside in Harmony Biosciences (HRMY): Can the Stock Really Move This High?
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$30.74 | HK$28.99 | -6% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.