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Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $14.3B

CC Carlisle Companies Incorporated logo Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL · US
Price$382.83
Fair Value$340.70
Upside-11.0%
Quality68/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.6% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
1.25% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Wide moat 77/100
Evidence: High Range $222.56 – $436.80 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +8.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 11% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($222.56 to $436.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from $222.56 (bear) to $436.80 (bull), base $340.70. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 68/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$471.46 $169.55 Fair Value $340.70 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $169.55 – $471.46 · fair‑value band $222.56 – $436.80 · the $382.83 price screens above the $340.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) currently trades at $382.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $340.70, implying the stock looks roughly 11.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Carlisle Companies Incorporated generated revenue of $5.0B at a net margin of 14.6%. Revenue declined 4.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 38.2%. Net debt stands at $1.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $222.56 (bear case) to $436.80 (bull case); at $382.83, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -11%, CSL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $234.52 $371.48 $568.60 80
Residual Income $144.23 $224.03 $3,051 76
Rev-Margin DCF $186.68 $318.29 $470.80 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $230.09 $385.41 $623.83 38
Owner Earnings $183.66 $312.63 $510.62 31
5Y Revenue Exit $186.68 $317.24 $482.86 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $219.10 $378.16 $563.04 41
5Y P/E Exit $211.10 $363.13 $522.33 38
10Y Revenue Exit $193.13 $316.35 $480.44 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $220.49 $358.75 $541.88 37
10Y P/E Exit $215.38 $348.29 $510.68 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $124.47 $395.54 $527.14 54
Lynch FV $87.13 $124.47 $161.81 50
PEG = 1.0 $87.13 $124.47 $161.81 46
EPV $143.10 $174.24 $201.48 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $41.09 $85.44 $135.54 70
DDM Multi-Stage $41.09 $68.59 $89.67 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $274.57 $366.09 $457.62 63
P/S Multiple $232.60 $310.14 $387.67 58
P/B Multiple $99.83 $133.11 $166.38 55
EV/EBIT $289.93 $401.14 $512.36 53
EV/EBITDA $244.59 $340.70 $436.80 54
EV/Revenue $173.37 $266.41 $359.45 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $22.18 $29.73 $44.37 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $234.52 $371.48 $568.60 80
Rev-Margin DCF $186.68 $318.29 $470.80 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $144.23 $224.03 $3,051 76
ROIC Compounder $156.95 $209.93 $271.27 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $229.92 $328.46 $427.00 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($348.29) versus Asset-Based ($29.73). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $5.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.0%
Net margin 14.6%
Return on equity 38.2%
Free cash flow $971M FY2025
P/E ratio 20.6
More key figures
Operating margin 17.4%
EPS (TTM) $17.14
Dividend yield 1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.2%
Net debt $1.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 69
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Carlisle Companies Incorporated operates as a manufacturer and supplier of building envelope products and solutions in the United States, Europe, North America, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Carlisle Construction Materials (CCM) and Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies (CWT).

Full company description

Carlisle Companies Incorporated operates as a manufacturer and supplier of building envelope products and solutions in the United States, Europe, North America, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Carlisle Construction Materials (CCM) and Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies (CWT). The CCM segment offers single-ply roofing solutions, including ethylene propylene diene monomer, thermoplastic polyolefin, polyvinyl chloride membrane, polyiso insulation, and engineered metal roofing and wall panel systems for commercial and residential buildings. Its CWT segment provides waterproofing and moisture protection products; protective roofing underlayment; fully integrated liquid and sheet applied air/vapor barriers; sealants/primers and flashing systems; roof coatings and mastics; spray polyurethane foam and coating systems for a range of thermal protection applications and other premium polyurethane products; block-molded expanded polystyrene insulation; engineered products for HVAC applications; and products for a variety of industrial and surfacing applications. The company sells its products under the Carlisle SynTec, Versico, WeatherBond, Hunter Panels, Resitrix, and Hertalan brands. The company was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Carlisle Companies Incorporated reported revenue of $5.0B in FY2025 versus $3.8B in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was $741M in FY2025, compounding +15.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.0B
Latest YoY
+0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+6.0%
Revenue +7.0%/yr
FY21 $3.8B
FY22 $5.4B
FY23 $4.6B
FY24 $5.0B
FY25 $5.0B
Net income +15.1%/yr
FY21 $422M
FY22 $924M
FY23 $767M
FY24 $1.3B
FY25 $741M

CSL screens 11% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Carlisle Companies Incorporated Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CSL

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Building Products & Equipment · 245 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −11% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.61× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 7.95× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.87× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 14.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.10× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 19 · sector 2
FUTURE 0 · sector 8
PAST 100 · sector 23
HEALTH 20 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 25 · sector 28

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $469.98 $212.34 -55%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $142.81 $45.65 -68%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $68.61 $17.35 -75%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €76.62 €101.60 +33%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 523.20 CHF 307.66 -41%
Lennox International Inc LII $543.93 $363.09 -33%
Kingspan Group KRX €87.30 €70.76 -19%
Masco Corporation MAS $78.04 $54.36 -30%
PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC 1,420 IDR 179.76 IDR -87%
NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB kr 36.03 kr 25.37 -30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $340.70 versus a price of $382.83, about −11% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CSL?
Our model-based fair value for Carlisle Companies Incorporated is $340.70 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $382.83.
What is the quality score of CSL?
Carlisle Companies Incorporated has a Quality Score of 68/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL)?
Carlisle Companies Incorporated reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CSL?
The net profit margin of Carlisle Companies Incorporated is about 14.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Carlisle Companies Incorporated pay a dividend?
Carlisle Companies Incorporated currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.27% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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