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Hyterra Ltd (HYT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Hyterra Ltd A$0.03, price A$0.02, upside +57.9%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · AU · ISIN AU0000232415

HL Thin data Jun 24, 2026

Hyterra Ltd

HYT · AU

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value A$0.0300 · Strongly undervalued (+57.9%)
!Quality 26/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +243.6 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.2638 A$0.0158 Fair Value A$0.0300 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0158 – A$0.2638 · fair‑value band A$0.0300 – A$0.0400 · the A$0.0190 price screens below the A$0.0300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Hyterra Ltd focuses on the exploration, development, and production of natural hydrogen in the United States. The company explores for hydrogen and helium resources. The company's flagship project includes the 100% owned Nemaha project covers an area of approximately 72,500 acres located in Kansas.

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Hyterra Ltd focuses on the exploration, development, and production of natural hydrogen in the United States. The company explores for hydrogen and helium resources. The company's flagship project includes the 100% owned Nemaha project covers an area of approximately 72,500 acres located in Kansas. Hyterra Ltd was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

Stock analysis

Hyterra Ltd (HYT) currently trades at A$0.0190, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0300, implying the stock looks roughly 36.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0300 (bear) to A$0.0400 (bull), the price of A$0.0190 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Hyterra Ltd reported revenue of A$317K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$4.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$14.7M (≈ $10.2M) · P/S ratio 46.4 · Return on equity −12.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −10.4% · Operating margin −813% · Revenue (TTM) A$317K · Revenue growth (YoY) +233% · Free cash flow −A$3.0M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 280% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 58%, HYT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0300 Fair Value A$0.0300 Bull A$0.0400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 50

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 29
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 35/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+233.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+243.6%
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,069,325.0% (2019) → −1,453.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Hyterra Ltd with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 290 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/6 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −8.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 233.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.31× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 32.21× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 74
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 72

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

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ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $127.06 $91.42 −28%
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.40 HK$39.91 +71%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.55 $52.31 +10%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $137.76 $165.02 +20%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $57.84 $33.18 −43%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $46.73 $51.40 +10%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $185.23 $243.76 +32%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.48 A$23.87 −24%
EQT Corporation EQT $50.09 $55.10 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $336.46 $317.06 −6%

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Hyterra Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0300 +37%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hyterra Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HYT

Frequently asked questions

Is Hyterra Ltd (HYT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0300 versus a price of A$0.0190, about +58% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HYT?
Our model-based fair value for Hyterra Ltd is A$0.0300 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0190.
What is the quality score of HYT?
Hyterra Ltd has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hyterra Ltd (HYT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0300 (as of Jun 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0300, optimistic scenario A$0.0400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hyterra Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0300, about +58% upside versus a price of A$0.0190 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0300, optimistic scenario A$0.0400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hyterra Ltd (HYT)?
Hyterra Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$317K (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hyterra Ltd (HYT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hyterra Ltd it is A$0.0300 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.0190. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hyterra Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 24, 2026, HYT trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0190, fair value A$0.0300, a gap of about +58% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HYT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0190); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0300). For Hyterra Ltd the two are A$0.0110 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hyterra Ltd worth?
The market values Hyterra Ltd at about A$14.7M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0190; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HYT?
Our models span a range for Hyterra Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0300, base A$0.0300, optimistic A$0.0400 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026, price A$0.0190). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hyterra Ltd (HYT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hyterra Ltd (as of Jun 24, 2026): return on equity −12.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HYT from its 52-week high?
Hyterra Ltd trades at A$0.0190, about 27% below its 52-week high of A$0.0260 and 280% above the low of A$0.0050 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hyterra Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hyterra Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 24, 2026: price A$0.0190, calculated fair value A$0.0300 (+58%), Quality Score 26/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HYT calculated?
We run Hyterra Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hyterra Ltd currently trades 37 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hyterra Ltd (HYT)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was A$0.0190. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0300, about +58% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hyterra Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (26/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0300). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Hyterra Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Hyterra Ltd (HYT)?
The market capitalisation of Hyterra Ltd is A$14.7M (≈ $10.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hyterra Ltd (HYT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hyterra Ltd is 46.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the return on equity of Hyterra Ltd (HYT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hyterra Ltd is −12.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hyterra Ltd (HYT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hyterra Ltd is −10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hyterra Ltd (HYT)?
The operating margin of Hyterra Ltd is −813% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hyterra Ltd (HYT)?
Revenue at Hyterra Ltd is growing +233% versus a year earlier (3y avg +244%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Hyterra Ltd (HYT) generate?
The free cash flow of Hyterra Ltd is −A$3.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Hyterra Ltd (HYT) hold?
Hyterra Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$2.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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