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IonQ, Inc (IONQ) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $26.0B

Price$57.85
Fair Value$30.54
Upside-47.2%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $22.90 – $38.17

Analysis

IonQ, Inc (IONQ) currently trades at $57.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.54 — implying the stock looks roughly 47.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

IonQ, Inc. develops quantum computing systems in the United States, Switzerland, and Internationally. It sells access to quantum computers of various qubit capacities. The company also makes access to its quantum computers through cloud platforms, such as Amazon Web Services (AWS), Braket, Microsoft's Azure Quantum, and Google's Cloud Marketplace, as well as through its cloud service. The company engages in quantum-safe communications and quantum detection systems. It provides contracts associated with the design, development, construction, and sale of specialized quantum computing hardware systems; maintenance and support services; and consulting services related to co-developing algorithms on quantum computing systems. The company has a collaboration agreement with University of Chicago. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in College Park, Maryland.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.