Dell Technologies Inc (DELL) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $281B
Dell Technologies Inc
DELL · US
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from $173.07 to $163.87 (−5.3%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price +4.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($217.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($105.31 to $217.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $31.18 – $467.27 · fair‑value band $105.31 – $217.00 · the $437.65 price screens above the $163.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Dell Technologies Inc (DELL) currently trades at $437.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $163.87, implying the stock looks roughly 62.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Dell Technologies Inc generated revenue of $134B at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue grew 87.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 44.3%. Net debt stands at $20.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $105.31 (bear case) to $217.00 (bull case); at $437.65, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 307% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -63%, DELL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($173.60) versus Dividend Discount ($31.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Dell Technologies Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and supports various comprehensive and integrated solutions, products, and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) and Client Solutions Group (CSG) segments.
Full company description
Dell Technologies Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and supports various comprehensive and integrated solutions, products, and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) and Client Solutions Group (CSG) segments. The ISG segment provides modern and traditional storage solutions, including all-flash, purpose-built, hyper-converged infrastructure, software-defined storage, and general-purpose and AI-optimized servers. This segment also offers networking products and services comprising wide area network infrastructure, data center and edge networking switches, and cables and optics that help its business customers to transform and modernize their infrastructure and complementing its server and storage solutions; and software, peripherals, and services, including consulting and support, and deployment. The CSG segment provides notebooks, desktops, and workstations and branded peripherals that include displays, docking stations, keyboards, mice, webcam and audio devices, and third-party software and peripherals; and configuration, and extended warranties services. The company is involved in originating, collecting, and servicing customer financing arrangements and offers payment and consumption solutions and services, such utility, subscription, as-a-service, leases, and loans, as well as fixed-term leases and loans. It serves enterprises, governmental agencies and other public institutions, educational institutions, healthcare organizations, small and medium-sized businesses, and consumers. The company was formerly known as Denali Holding Inc. and changed its name to Dell Technologies Inc. in March 2013. Dell Technologies Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Round Rock, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Dell Technologies Inc reported revenue of $114B in FY2026 versus $101B in FY2022, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was $5.9B in FY2026, compounding +1.6%/yr from FY2022.
DELL screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Compal Electronics, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Dell Technologies Rides on Commercial PC Demand: What's Ahead?
- Wall Street Analysts Think Dell Technologies (DELL) Could Surge 25.21%: Read This Before Placing a Bet
- Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know
Peer Group
Computer Hardware · 217 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compal Electronics, Inc CEIR | $0.0310 | $0.0276 | -11% |
| Arista Networks, Inc ANET | $168.56 | $43.74 | -74% |
| Western Digital Corporation WDC | $513.84 | $74.05 | -86% |
| Wiwynn Corporation 6669 | 4,685 TWD | 1,559 TWD | -67% |
| Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 | ¥34.12 | ¥30.11 | -12% |
| Quanta Computer Inc 2382 | 373.50 TWD | 297.22 TWD | -20% |
| Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 | ¥587.60 | ¥60.86 | -90% |
| Lenovo Group 0992 | HK$23.16 | HK$3.07 | -87% |
| Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 | ¥106.13 | ¥28.88 | -73% |
| Inspur Electronic Information Industry Co 000977 | ¥89.52 | ¥31.81 | -64% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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