Key Petroleum Limited (KEY) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · AU · Market cap A$3.2M
Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from A$0.0500 to A$0.0316 (−36.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −18.2% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range A$0.0320 – A$0.2750 · fair‑value band A$0.0235 – A$0.0397 · the A$0.0810 price screens above the A$0.0316 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.
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Key Petroleum Limited (KEY) currently trades at A$0.0810, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0316 — implying the stock looks roughly 61.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$3.1K. Revenue grew 83.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -28.9%. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Key Petroleum Limited engages in the acquisition and exploration of petroleum permits in Australia. It holds interests in the ATP920 and ATP 924 assets in the Cooper Eromanga Basin, Queensland. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Key Petroleum Limited reported revenue of A$1.7K in FY2025 versus A$768K in FY2020, a compound −70.6%/yr. Reported net income was −A$484K in FY2025.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.