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Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Kimberly-Clark Corporation BRL 314, price BRL 498, upside -36.9%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Kimberly-Clark Corporation
KMBB34 · SAStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value R$314.36 · Strongly overvalued (−36.9%)
!Quality 56/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −6.6 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 12.8% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.0% dividend yield · Sustainable
✓Wide moat 70/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$465.34 – R$814.22 · fair‑value band R$203.46 – R$432.17 · the R$497.84 price screens above the R$314.36 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Kimberly-Clark Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets personal care products in the United States. It operates in two segments, North America and International Personal Care.
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Kimberly-Clark Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets personal care products in the United States. It operates in two segments, North America and International Personal Care. The North America segment offers disposable diapers, training and youth pants, swimpants, baby wipes, feminine and incontinence care products, reusable underwear, facial and bathroom tissue, paper towels, napkins, wipers, tissue, towels, soaps and sanitizers, and other related products under the Huggies, Pull-Ups, Goodnites, Kotex, Poise, Depend, Kleenex, Scott, Cottonelle, Viva, Wypall , and other brand names. Its International Personal Care segment provides baby and child care, adult care and feminine care, including disposable diapers, training and youth pants, swimpants, baby wipes, feminine and incontinence care products, reusable underwear, and other related products under the Huggies, Kotex, Goodfeel, Intimus, Depend, and other brand names. The company sells its household use products directly to supermarkets, mass merchandisers, drugstores, warehouse clubs, variety and department stores, and other retail outlets, as well as through other distributors and e-commerce. It also sells its professional use products through distributors, directly to manufacturing, lodging, office building, food service, and high-volume public facilities, and through e-commerce. Kimberly-Clark Corporation was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
Stock analysis
Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34) currently trades at R$497.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$314.36, 36.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of R$505.17 per share, and 4 of the 24 models we run sit above the R$497.84 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at R$76.78, and 20 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: R$203.46 (bear) to R$432.17 (bull), the price of R$497.84 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Kimberly-Clark Corporation reported revenue of $16.4B in FY2025 versus $20.2B in FY2022, a compound −6.6%/yr. Reported net income was $2.0B in FY2025, compounding +1.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap R$182B (≈ $34.9B) · P/E ratio 18.6 · P/S ratio 2.28 · EPS (TTM) R$26.78 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 12.3% · Return on equity 112% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −37%, KMBB34 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$203.46
Fair Value R$314.36
Bull R$432.17
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$16.42 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
R$190.59
R$301.12
R$505.83
75
Growth DCF
R$203.70
R$310.98
R$494.48
74
Residual Income
R$69.75
R$76.78
R$118.40
72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
R$190.59
R$301.12
R$505.83
75
Owner Earnings
R$198.09
R$311.55
R$521.71
71
5Y Revenue Exit
R$170.66
R$290.12
R$463.74
68
5Y EBITDA Exit
R$271.95
R$465.50
R$721.88
71
5Y P/E Exit
R$280.96
R$481.10
R$719.87
67
10Y Revenue Exit
R$169.13
R$258.95
R$355.16
64
10Y EBITDA Exit
R$237.77
R$367.40
R$506.71
66
10Y P/E Exit
R$243.24
R$377.05
R$505.53
61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
R$216.21
R$264.26
R$297.29
65
EPV
R$187.03
R$233.35
R$273.88
71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
R$239.79
R$262.47
R$297.02
67
DDM Multi-Stage
R$239.79
R$300.86
R$386.45
65
Multiples
P/E Multiple
R$500.78
R$667.71
R$834.64
63
P/S Multiple
R$310.51
R$414.01
R$517.51
58
P/B Multiple
R$97.48
R$129.97
R$162.46
55
EV/EBIT
R$380.08
R$537.08
R$694.08
65
EV/EBITDA
R$392.75
R$553.96
R$715.18
67
EV/Revenue
R$180.79
R$297.23
R$413.67
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
R$11.82
R$15.83
R$23.63
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
R$203.70
R$310.98
R$494.48
74
Rev-Margin DCF
R$170.66
R$296.73
R$451.41
68
Economic Profit
Residual Income
R$69.75
R$76.78
R$118.40
72
ROIC Compounder
R$187.03
R$244.75
R$302.45
69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
R$353.62
R$505.17
R$656.72
65
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
56/100
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Profitability
73
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
84
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.6%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 14%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.2% a year for the price and +0.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+3.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.9%
KMBB34 screens overvalued: fair value 37% below the price. Compare with Colgate-Palmolive Company →
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Context: sector, industry, market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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| Colgate-Palmolive Company CL | $86.52 | $56.16 | −35% |
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| Kenvue Inc KVUE | $17.80 | $12.72 | −29% |
| The Estée Lauder Companies Inc EL | $90.19 | $44.21 | −51% |
| Henkel AG HEN | €66.35 | €82.61 | +25% |
| Church & Dwight Co CHD | $95.62 | $65.04 | −32% |
| Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft, BEI | €75.40 | €69.09 | −8% |
| Puig Brands, S.A PUIG | €17.84 | €24.28 | +36% |
| Marico Limited MARICO | ₹781.35 | ₹493.84 | −37% |
| APR Co 278470 | 368,500 KRW | 405,350 KRW | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$314.36 versus a price of R$497.84, about −37% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KMBB34?
Our model-based fair value for Kimberly-Clark Corporation is R$314.36 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$497.84.
What is the quality score of KMBB34?
Kimberly-Clark Corporation has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$314.36 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$203.46, optimistic scenario R$432.17. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kimberly-Clark Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$314.36, about −37% upside versus a price of R$497.84 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$203.46, optimistic scenario R$432.17. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34)?
Kimberly-Clark Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $16.6B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Kimberly-Clark Corporation pay a dividend?
Kimberly-Clark Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.02% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kimberly-Clark Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +14.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew -6.6 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KMBB34 use?
Our models discount Kimberly-Clark Corporation at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.28, country premium for Brazil. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kimberly-Clark Corporation that is +14.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Kimberly-Clark Corporation grew -6.6 % a year. The price currently implies +14.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kimberly-Clark Corporation (+14.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.18 %: that much free cash flow Kimberly-Clark Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kimberly-Clark Corporation it is R$314.36 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of R$497.84. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kimberly-Clark Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, KMBB34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$497.84, fair value R$314.36, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KMBB34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$497.84); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$314.36). For Kimberly-Clark Corporation the two are R$183.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kimberly-Clark Corporation worth?
The market values Kimberly-Clark Corporation at about R$182B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is R$497.84; our models calculate a fair value of R$314.36 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KMBB34?
Our models span a range for Kimberly-Clark Corporation: cautious scenario R$203.46, base R$314.36, optimistic R$432.17 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price R$497.84). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is KMBB34 from its 52-week high?
Kimberly-Clark Corporation trades at R$497.84, about 21% below its 52-week high of R$633.24 and 7% above the low of R$465.34 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$314.36 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kimberly-Clark Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Colgate-Palmolive Company, Hindustan Unilever Limited, Kenvue Inc, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kimberly-Clark Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price R$497.84, calculated fair value R$314.36 (−37%), Quality Score 56/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KMBB34 calculated?
We run Kimberly-Clark Corporation through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$314.36, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Kimberly-Clark Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was R$497.84. Our model-based fair value is R$314.36, about −37% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kimberly-Clark Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$432.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (R$203.46 to R$432.17) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Kimberly-Clark Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34)?
The market capitalisation of Kimberly-Clark Corporation is R$182B (≈ $34.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Kimberly-Clark Corporation is 18.6. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kimberly-Clark Corporation is 2.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34)?
Earnings per share at Kimberly-Clark Corporation are R$26.78 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34)?
The dividend yield of Kimberly-Clark Corporation is 1.0% (payout 18.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34)?
The net margin of Kimberly-Clark Corporation is 12.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kimberly-Clark Corporation is 112% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kimberly-Clark Corporation is 14.0% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34)?
The operating margin of Kimberly-Clark Corporation is 19.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34)?
Revenue at Kimberly-Clark Corporation is growing +2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34)?
Earnings per share at Kimberly-Clark Corporation are growing +17.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMBB34) carry?
The net debt of Kimberly-Clark Corporation is $6.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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