Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Leidos Holdings Inc. BRL 116, price BRL 65.88, upside +75.5%, quality 75 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$37.20 – R$114.95 · fair‑value band R$67.05 – R$175.79 · the R$65.88 price screens below the R$115.61 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Leidos Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides services and solutions for government and commercial customers in the United States and internationally.
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Leidos Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides services and solutions for government and commercial customers in the United States and internationally. The National Security & Digital segment provides national security software; services by using artificial intelligence and machine learning to coordinate sea, ground, air, and space to help warfighters; offensive, defensive, and physical cyber operation solutions; intelligence analysis, operational support, logistics operations, security, linguistics, force production, biometrics, chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and explosives, energetics, training, and other services; and Digital Modernization and transformation services. The Health & Civil segment offers air traffic control systems; health mission software; managed health services; infrastructure management and operation; logistical operations and information technology support; and life science research and development support services. The Commercial & International segment provides power grid engineering and design, grid modernization, utility planning and consulting, energy management and efficiency, technology-driven innovation, and software and application development; people scanners, computed tomography carry-on baggage scanners, checked baggage scanners, and explosive trace detectors; mobile, non-intrusive ports and borders inspection systems; and open-architecture platform that transforms airport security by integrating disparate devices and technologies into a unified management system. The Defense Systems segment offers air and missile defense, maritime, aerospace, and cyber and threat systems; offers airborne training, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance missions; and provides space-based electro-optic infrared systems, multi/hyperspectral, electronic warfare and signals intelligence, and communications payloads. Leidos Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
Stock analysis
Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34) currently trades at R$65.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$115.61, implying the stock looks roughly 43.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of R$146.66 per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the R$65.88 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at R$13.50, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: R$67.05 (bear) to R$175.79 (bull), the price of R$65.88 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Leidos Holdings Inc. reported revenue of $17.2B in FY2025 versus $13.7B in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was $1.4B in FY2025, compounding +17.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$65.8B (≈ $12.6B) · P/E ratio 11.6 · P/S ratio 0.98 · EPS (TTM) R$5.66 · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 8.4% · Return on equity 30.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at 75%, L1DO34 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$67.05Fair Value R$115.61Bull R$175.79
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$3.02 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.78/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+23.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+21.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 12%
2025 sits 129% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 458 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+72.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)30.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets9.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)8.2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)12.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.93× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Leidos Holdings Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/L1DO34
Frequently asked questions
Is Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$115.61 versus a price of R$65.88, about +75% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of L1DO34?
Our model-based fair value for Leidos Holdings Inc. is R$115.61 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$65.88.
What is the quality score of L1DO34?
Leidos Holdings Inc. has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$115.61 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$67.05, optimistic scenario R$175.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Leidos Holdings Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$115.61, about +75% upside versus a price of R$65.88 (undervalued). Cautious scenario R$67.05, optimistic scenario R$175.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34)?
Leidos Holdings Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.3B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Leidos Holdings Inc. pay a dividend?
Leidos Holdings Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.52% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Leidos Holdings Inc. it is R$115.61 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of R$65.88. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Leidos Holdings Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, L1DO34 trades below its calculated fair value: price R$65.88, fair value R$115.61, a gap of about +75% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of L1DO34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$65.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$115.61). For Leidos Holdings Inc. the two are R$49.73 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Leidos Holdings Inc. worth?
The market values Leidos Holdings Inc. at about R$65.8B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is R$65.88; our models calculate a fair value of R$115.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about L1DO34?
Our models span a range for Leidos Holdings Inc.: cautious scenario R$67.05, base R$115.61, optimistic R$175.79 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price R$65.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of L1DO34?
Leidos Holdings Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.6 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$115.61 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34)?
Balance-sheet figures for Leidos Holdings Inc. (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 30.6%, debt of 0.93 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 75/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is L1DO34 from its 52-week high?
Leidos Holdings Inc. trades at R$65.88, about 38% below its 52-week high of R$106.39 and 26% above the low of R$52.35 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$115.61 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Leidos Holdings Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Leidos Holdings Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price R$65.88, calculated fair value R$115.61 (+75%), Quality Score 75/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of L1DO34 calculated?
We run Leidos Holdings Inc. through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$115.61, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Leidos Holdings Inc. currently trades 43 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was R$65.88. Our model-based fair value is R$115.61, about +75% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Leidos Holdings Inc. right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (75/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The model range is unusually wide (R$67.05 to R$175.79). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Leidos Holdings Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34)?
The market capitalisation of Leidos Holdings Inc. is R$65.8B (≈ $12.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Leidos Holdings Inc. is 0.98 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34)?
Earnings per share at Leidos Holdings Inc. are R$5.66 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34)?
The dividend yield of Leidos Holdings Inc. is 2.5% (payout 29.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34)?
The net margin of Leidos Holdings Inc. is 8.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Leidos Holdings Inc. is 30.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Leidos Holdings Inc. is 10.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34)?
The operating margin of Leidos Holdings Inc. is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34)?
Revenue at Leidos Holdings Inc. is growing +3.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34)?
Earnings per share at Leidos Holdings Inc. are growing −7.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34) generate?
The free cash flow of Leidos Holdings Inc. is $1.6B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Leidos Holdings Inc. (L1DO34) carry?
The net debt of Leidos Holdings Inc. is $3.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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