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Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (LHUAF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings $0.03, price $0.05, upside -28.7%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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LS
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Lianhua Supermarket Holdings
LHUAF · USWeak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.
!Fair value $0.0324 · Overvalued (−28.7%)
!Quality 30/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −8.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.1% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 7/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0040 – $3.09 · fair‑value band $0.0310 – $0.0343 · the $0.0454 price screens above the $0.0324 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Lianhua Supermarket Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates hypermarkets, supermarkets, and convenience stores primarily in the eastern region of the People's Republic of China. The company operates its stores under the Century Mart, Lianhua Supermarket, Hualian Supermarket, and Lianhua Quik brand names.
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Lianhua Supermarket Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates hypermarkets, supermarkets, and convenience stores primarily in the eastern region of the People's Republic of China. The company operates its stores under the Century Mart, Lianhua Supermarket, Hualian Supermarket, and Lianhua Quik brand names. It also involved in the sale of merchandise to wholesalers; provision of logistic services for wholesale business; sale of products through e-commerce platform; and franchise of stores. The company was founded in 1991 and is based in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (LHUAF) currently trades at $0.0454, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0324, 28.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.0310 (bear) to $0.0343 (bull), the price of $0.0454 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Lianhua Supermarket Holdings reported revenue of 17.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 24.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −8.6%/yr. Reported net income was −195M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $64.7M · P/E ratio 0.3 · EPS (TTM) $0.0600 · Net margin −1.1% · Return on equity −153% · Return on assets (EBIT) −10.7% · Operating margin −5.2% · Revenue (TTM) 17.8B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 187% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −29%, LHUAF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0310
Fair Value $0.0324
Bull $0.0343
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0454 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings
$0.3600
$0.4400
$0.5600
78
All 1 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
$0.3600
$0.4400
$0.5600
78
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
30/100
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Profitability
29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
94
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.4% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−8.6% (2020) → −10.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
LHUAF screens overvalued: fair value 29% below the price. Compare with Falabella S.A →
Compare Lianhua Supermarket Holdings with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Department Stores · 105 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 6,450 CLP | 6,080 CLP | −6% |
| Dillard's, Inc DDS | $664.07 | $568.06 | −14% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.20 MYR | 1.52 MYR | −53% |
| Macy's, Inc M | $22.64 | $43.20 | +91% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 1,990 CLP | 1,955 CLP | −2% |
| Central Retail Corporation CRC | 30.00 THB | 20.89 THB | −30% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹103.50 | ₹103.60 | +0% |
| POYA International Co 5904 | 69.70 TWD | 76.67 TWD | +10% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 347,000 KRW | 143,353 KRW | −59% |
| Easyhome New Retail Group 000785 | ¥2.30 | ¥1.37 | −40% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (LHUAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0324 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0454, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LHUAF?
Our model-based fair value for Lianhua Supermarket Holdings is $0.0324 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.0454.
What is the quality score of LHUAF?
Lianhua Supermarket Holdings has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (LHUAF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0324 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0310, optimistic scenario $0.0343. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lianhua Supermarket Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0324, about −29% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0454 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0310, optimistic scenario $0.0343. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (LHUAF)?
Lianhua Supermarket Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 17.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (LHUAF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lianhua Supermarket Holdings it is $0.0324 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0454. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lianhua Supermarket Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, LHUAF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0454, fair value $0.0324, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LHUAF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0454); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0324). For Lianhua Supermarket Holdings the two are $0.0130 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lianhua Supermarket Holdings worth?
The market values Lianhua Supermarket Holdings at about $64.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0454; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0324 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LHUAF?
Our models span a range for Lianhua Supermarket Holdings: cautious scenario $0.0310, base $0.0324, optimistic $0.0343 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0454). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LHUAF?
Lianhua Supermarket Holdings trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.0324 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (LHUAF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −153.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LHUAF from its 52-week high?
Lianhua Supermarket Holdings trades at $0.0454, about 8% below its 52-week high of $0.0495 and 187% above the low of $0.0158 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0324 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lianhua Supermarket Holdings?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Falabella S.A, Dillard's, Inc, 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings, Macy's, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lianhua Supermarket Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0454, calculated fair value $0.0324 (−29%), Quality Score 30/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LHUAF calculated?
We run Lianhua Supermarket Holdings through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0324, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Lianhua Supermarket Holdings itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (LHUAF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.0454. Our model-based fair value is $0.0324, about −29% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lianhua Supermarket Holdings right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0343). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The models converge in a tight band ($0.0310 to $0.0343), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings
How large is the market capitalisation of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (LHUAF)?
The market capitalisation of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings is $64.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (LHUAF)?
Earnings per share at Lianhua Supermarket Holdings are $0.0600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (LHUAF)?
The net margin of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings is −1.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (LHUAF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings is −153% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (LHUAF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings is −10.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (LHUAF)?
The operating margin of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings is −5.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (LHUAF)?
Revenue at Lianhua Supermarket Holdings is growing −7.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (LHUAF)?
Earnings per share at Lianhua Supermarket Holdings are growing −31.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (LHUAF) generate?
The free cash flow of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings is −392M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (LHUAF) carry?
The net debt of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings is 1.9B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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