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Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.0T

EL Eli Lilly and Company logo Eli Lilly and Company LLY · US
Price$1,107
Fair Value$395.92
Upside-64.2%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $221.23 – $582.33

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price +11.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$1,107 $559.20 Fair Value $395.92 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $559.20 – $1,107 · fair‑value band $221.23 – $582.33 · the $1,107 price screens above the $395.92 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) currently trades at $1,107, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $395.92 — implying the stock looks roughly 64.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Eli Lilly and Company generated revenue of $72.2B at a net margin of 35.0%. Revenue grew 55.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 107.5%. Net debt stands at $35.3B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $72.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +55.5%
Net margin 35.0%
Return on equity 107%
Free cash flow $9.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 40.0
More key figures
Operating margin 49.4%
EPS (TTM) $28.13
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +170%
Net debt $35.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Eli Lilly and Company discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets human pharmaceutical products in the United States, Europe, China, Japan, and internationally. The company offers cardiometabolic health products, including Basaglar, Humalog, Humalog Mix 75/25, Humalog U-100, Humalog U-200, Humalog Mix 50/50, insulin lispro, insulin lispro protamine, insulin lispro mix 75/25, Humulin, Humulin 70/30, Humulin N, Humulin R, Humulin U-500 for diabetes; Jardiance, Mounjaro, and Trulicity for type 2 diabetes; and Zepbound for obesity. It also provides oncology products, such as Cyramza for the second-line treatment of gastric cancer or gastro-esophageal junction adenocarcinoma; Erbitux for colorectal cancers and head and neck cancers; Inluriyo for breast cancer; Jaypirca for chronic lymphocytic leukemia or small lymphocytic lymphoma; Retevmo for the treatment of metastatic NSCLC; TYVYT for classic hodgkin's lymphoma; and Verzenio for breast cancer. In addition, the company offers immuno…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Eli Lilly and Company reported revenue of $65.2B in FY2025 versus $28.3B in FY2021, a compound +23.2%/yr. Reported net income was $20.6B in FY2025, compounding +38.7%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +23.2%/yr
FY21 $28.3B
FY22 $28.5B
FY23 $34.1B
FY24 $45.0B
FY25 $65.2B
Net income +38.7%/yr
FY21 $5.6B
FY22 $6.2B
FY23 $5.2B
FY24 $10.6B
FY25 $20.6B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $395.92 versus a price of $1,107 — about −64% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of LLY?
Our 21-model fair value for Eli Lilly and Company is $395.92 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1,107.
What is the quality score of LLY?
Eli Lilly and Company has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)?
Eli Lilly and Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $72.2B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LLY?
The net profit margin of Eli Lilly and Company is about 35.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 35.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Eli Lilly and Company pay a dividend?
Eli Lilly and Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.58% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.