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Lucent, Inc. (LUCN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Lucent, Inc. $0.47, price $4.55, upside -89.7%, quality 22 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · US

LI Lucent, Inc. logo Thin data Jun 23, 2026

Lucent, Inc.

LUCN · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.4700 · Strongly overvalued (−89.7%)
!Quality 22/100
!Weak Growth
!Loss-making · -1.2% net margin (FY2024)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/6)
!Narrow moat 30/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$9.20 $2.52 Fair Value $0.4700 Sep 2024 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

25‑month range $2.52 – $9.20 · fair‑value band $0.3600 – $0.5900 · the $4.55 price screens above the $0.4700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Lucent, Inc. provides sustainable energy and artificial intelligence (AI) technology solutions in the United States and internationally. The company offers battery management system, which utilizes AI for enhanced energy storage capabilities.

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Lucent, Inc. provides sustainable energy and artificial intelligence (AI) technology solutions in the United States and internationally. The company offers battery management system, which utilizes AI for enhanced energy storage capabilities. Its technologies harness the nano-material property capabilities to provide nano-scale building blocks for creating energy storage solutions. The company was formerly known as Tipmefast, Inc. and changed its name to Lucent, Inc. in February 2025. Lucent, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Irvine, California.

Stock analysis

Lucent, Inc. (LUCN) currently trades at $4.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4700, 89.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.3600 (bear) to $0.5900 (bull), the price of $4.55 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Lucent, Inc. reported revenue of $1.5M in FY2024 versus $0 in FY2020. Reported net income was −$18.0K in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap $81.4M · Net margin −1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −115% · Free cash flow −$16.9K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −90%, LUCN screens richer than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

LUCN screens overvalued: fair value 90% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 359 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −89.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets 0.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −1.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $512.90 $564.19 +10%
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $187.05 $42.16 −77%
Oracle Corporation ORCL $137.30 $112.26 −18%
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $264.75 $37.31 −86%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $176.33 $164.68 −7%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $434.94 $249.20 −43%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $87.12 $58.32 −33%
Block, Inc XYZ $74.04 $76.95 +4%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $204.41 $157.26 −23%
Okta, Inc OKTA $202.18 $142.12 −30%

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Lucent, Inc. · Fair Value
$0.4700 −90%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lucent, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LUCN

Frequently asked questions

Is Lucent, Inc. (LUCN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4700 versus a price of $4.55, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LUCN?
Our model-based fair value for Lucent, Inc. is $0.4700 (as of Jun 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.55.
What is the quality score of LUCN?
Lucent, Inc. has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lucent, Inc. (LUCN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4700 (as of Jun 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3600, optimistic scenario $0.5900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lucent, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4700, about −90% upside versus a price of $4.55 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.3600, optimistic scenario $0.5900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Lucent, Inc. (LUCN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lucent, Inc. it is $0.4700 per share (as of Jun 23, 2026), against a price of $4.55. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lucent, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 23, 2026, LUCN trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.55, fair value $0.4700, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LUCN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4700). For Lucent, Inc. the two are $4.08 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lucent, Inc. worth?
The market values Lucent, Inc. at about $81.4M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 23, 2026). Per share that is $4.55; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LUCN?
Our models span a range for Lucent, Inc.: cautious scenario $0.3600, base $0.4700, optimistic $0.5900 per share (as of Jun 23, 2026, price $4.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lucent, Inc. (LUCN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lucent, Inc. (as of Jun 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LUCN from its 52-week high?
Lucent, Inc. trades at $4.55, about 51% below its 52-week high of $9.20 and 81% above the low of $2.52 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lucent, Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lucent, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 23, 2026: price $4.55, calculated fair value $0.4700 (−90%), Quality Score 22/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LUCN calculated?
We run Lucent, Inc. through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Lucent, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lucent, Inc. (LUCN)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $4.55. Our model-based fair value is $0.4700, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lucent, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.5900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Lucent, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Lucent, Inc. (LUCN)?
The market capitalisation of Lucent, Inc. is $81.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the net margin of Lucent, Inc. (LUCN)?
The net margin of Lucent, Inc. is −1.2% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lucent, Inc. (LUCN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lucent, Inc. is −115% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Lucent, Inc. (LUCN) generate?
The free cash flow of Lucent, Inc. is −$16.9K (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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