Marubeni Corporation (MARUF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Marubeni Corporation $42.74, price $30.29, upside +41.1%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.78 – $40.93 · fair‑value band $16.30 – $56.90 · the $30.29 price screens below the $42.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
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Marubeni Corporation purchases, distributes, and markets industrial and consumer goods. It offers apparel, fashion accessories, household goods, rubber, industrial and textile materials, conveyor belts, tyres, wood chips, pulp, paper and cardboard products, sanitary goods, and smart devices.
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Marubeni Corporation purchases, distributes, and markets industrial and consumer goods. It offers apparel, fashion accessories, household goods, rubber, industrial and textile materials, conveyor belts, tyres, wood chips, pulp, paper and cardboard products, sanitary goods, and smart devices. The company also provides dairy products, commercial use food materials, oil and fat, flour, sugar, beverages and their raw materials, meats and processed meats, grain and livestock, oilseed, wheat, and compound feed and marine products; digital technology solutions; petrochemicals and industrial salt; materials for displays, semiconductors, and batteries; and oleochemicals and industrial functional chemicals. In addition, it is involved in the procurement, production, and processing of high value-added products; agricultural material retail and fertilizer wholesale businesses; planning, manufacturing, and wholesaling/retailing of products to business investment and operations; manufactures, processes, and sells nonferrous light metals; trading of raw materials; forwarding business; and recycling of ferrous, nonferrous light metals, and EV battery, as well as nuclear power, and environmental value development and trading business. Further, it engages in the exploration, development, production, liquefaction, and trading of natural gas, oil and gas, and LPG; logistics and marketing; wholesale and retail power trading; decentralized power generation business; operation and maintenance business for water and railway; development, investment, and business management of power generation, water, gas, transportation, and other areas; production and trading of ammonia and SAF; fund management; real estate development and management; and insurance business. Additionally, it is involved in auto finance, aircraft and aircraft engine leasing, commercial vehicle fleet management, and next-generation finance activities. The company was founded in 1858 and is headquartered in Chiyoda, Japan.
Stock analysis
Marubeni Corporation (MARUF) currently trades at $30.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $42.74, implying the stock looks roughly 29.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $41.52 per share, and 6 of the 13 models we run sit above the $30.29 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $10.37, and 7 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $16.30 (bear) to $56.90 (bull), the price of $30.29 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Marubeni Corporation reported revenue of ¥8.3T in FY2026 versus ¥8.5T in FY2022, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥547B in FY2026, compounding +6.6%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $49.9B · P/E ratio 14.7 · P/S ratio 0.97 · EPS (TTM) $2.06 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 6.6% · Return on equity 13.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 41%, MARUF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $16.30Fair Value $42.74Bull $56.90
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.3% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+14.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12.3% vs 18.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.1% a year for the price and +0.9% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (91 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 362 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside+101.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets1.6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)6.6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)3.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1.1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.44× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Marubeni Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MARUF
Frequently asked questions
Is Marubeni Corporation (MARUF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $42.74 versus a price of $30.29, about +41% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MARUF?
Our model-based fair value for Marubeni Corporation is $42.74 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $30.29.
What is the quality score of MARUF?
Marubeni Corporation has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Marubeni Corporation (MARUF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $42.74 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $16.30, optimistic scenario $56.90. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Marubeni Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $42.74, about +41% upside versus a price of $30.29 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $16.30, optimistic scenario $56.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Marubeni Corporation (MARUF)?
Marubeni Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥8.3T (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Marubeni Corporation pay a dividend?
Marubeni Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.36% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Marubeni Corporation (MARUF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Marubeni Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +10.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.6 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MARUF use?
Our models discount Marubeni Corporation at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.67, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Marubeni Corporation that is +10.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Marubeni Corporation (MARUF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Marubeni Corporation grew +5.6 % a year. The price currently implies +10.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Marubeni Corporation (MARUF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Marubeni Corporation (+10.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Marubeni Corporation (MARUF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.88 %: that much free cash flow Marubeni Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Marubeni Corporation (MARUF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Marubeni Corporation it is $42.74 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $30.29. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Marubeni Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, MARUF trades below its calculated fair value: price $30.29, fair value $42.74, a gap of about +41% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MARUF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($30.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($42.74). For Marubeni Corporation the two are $12.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Marubeni Corporation worth?
The market values Marubeni Corporation at about $49.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $30.29; our models calculate a fair value of $42.74 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MARUF?
Our models span a range for Marubeni Corporation: cautious scenario $16.30, base $42.74, optimistic $56.90 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $30.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MARUF?
Marubeni Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.7 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $42.74 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.7, P/B 1.8, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 19.7.
What is the PEG ratio of MARUF?
The PEG ratio of Marubeni Corporation is 2.75 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Marubeni Corporation (MARUF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Marubeni Corporation (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 13.5%, debt of 0.44 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MARUF from its 52-week high?
Marubeni Corporation trades at $30.29, about 26% below its 52-week high of $40.93 and 28% above the low of $23.72 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $42.74 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Marubeni Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Swire Pacific Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Marubeni Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $30.29, calculated fair value $42.74 (+41%), Quality Score 50/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MARUF calculated?
We run Marubeni Corporation through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $42.74, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Marubeni Corporation currently trades 29 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Marubeni Corporation (MARUF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $30.29. Our model-based fair value is $42.74, about +41% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Marubeni Corporation right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($16.30 to $56.90). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Marubeni Corporation (MARUF) come from?
Earnings per share at Marubeni Corporation grew +19.3 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.0 %, EBIT margin +7.2 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +9.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Marubeni Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Marubeni Corporation (MARUF)?
The market capitalisation of Marubeni Corporation is $49.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Marubeni Corporation (MARUF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Marubeni Corporation is 0.97 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Marubeni Corporation (MARUF)?
Earnings per share at Marubeni Corporation are $2.06 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Marubeni Corporation (MARUF)?
The dividend yield of Marubeni Corporation is 2.4% (payout 34.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Marubeni Corporation (MARUF)?
The net margin of Marubeni Corporation is 6.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Marubeni Corporation (MARUF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Marubeni Corporation is 13.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Marubeni Corporation (MARUF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Marubeni Corporation is 3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Marubeni Corporation (MARUF)?
The operating margin of Marubeni Corporation is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Marubeni Corporation (MARUF)?
Revenue at Marubeni Corporation is growing +1.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Marubeni Corporation (MARUF)?
Earnings per share at Marubeni Corporation are growing +44.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Marubeni Corporation (MARUF) carry?
The net debt of Marubeni Corporation is ¥1.9T (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 4.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 29, 2026