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MC Mining Limited (MCM) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · AU · Market cap A$253M

MM MC Mining Limited MCM · AU
PriceA$0.2700
Fair ValueA$0.1800
Upside-33.3%
Quality93/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.1400 – A$0.2300

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −8.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$0.3535 A$0.0844 Fair Value A$0.1800 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$0.0844 – A$0.3535 · fair‑value band A$0.1400 – A$0.2300 · the A$0.2700 price screens above the A$0.1800 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

MC Mining Limited (MCM) currently trades at A$0.2700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1800 — implying the stock looks roughly 33.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 93/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$15.6M. Revenue declined 21.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -40.5%. Net debt stands at A$6.7M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$15.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) -21.5%
Net margin -227%
Return on equity -40.5%
Free cash flow −A$29.3M FY2025
Operating margin -133%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0900
Net debt A$6.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

MC Mining Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of steelmaking and thermal coal projects in South Africa. Its flagship project is the 67% owned Makhado steelmaking hard coking coal project located in the Soutpansberg coalfield in the Limpopo province. The company was formerly known as Coal of Africa Limited and changed its name to MC Mining Limited in November 2017. MC Mining Limited was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MC Mining Limited reported revenue of A$17.5M in FY2025 versus A$20.7M in FY2021, a compound −4.2%/yr. Reported net income was −A$35.7M in FY2025.

Revenue −4.2%/yr
FY21 A$20.7M
FY22 A$23.5M
FY23 A$44.8M
FY24 A$36.7M
FY25 A$17.5M
Net income
FY21 −A$11.7M
FY22 −A$20.7M
FY23 −A$4.3M
FY24 −A$14.3M
FY25 −A$35.7M

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Similar stocks

6 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 ¥41.51 ¥34.07 -18%
Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT ₹2,931 ₹796.70 -73%
Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 ¥26.63 ¥19.45 -27%
Yankuang Energy Group 600188 ¥25.05 ¥17.17 -31%
China Coal Energy Company 601898 ¥13.73 ¥22.52 +64%
Coal India Limited COALINDIA ₹472.30 ₹1,206 +155%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MC Mining Limited (MCM) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1800 versus a price of A$0.2700 — about −33% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of MCM?
Our 21-model fair value for MC Mining Limited is A$0.1800 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.2700.
What is the quality score of MCM?
MC Mining Limited has a Quality Score of 93/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of MC Mining Limited (MCM)?
MC Mining Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$15.6M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.