Yankuang Energy Group (600188) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CN · Market cap 203B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from ¥22.25 to ¥13.24 (−40.5%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +16.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 38% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥19.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥7.07 to ¥19.10). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.62 – ¥27.27 · fair‑value band ¥7.07 – ¥19.10 · the ¥21.27 price screens above the ¥13.24 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Yankuang Energy Group (600188) currently trades at ¥21.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.24, implying the stock looks roughly 37.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Yankuang Energy Group generated revenue of 146B CNY at a net margin of 6.6%. Revenue grew 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. Net debt stands at 29.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.07 (bear case) to ¥19.10 (bull case); at ¥21.27, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -38%, 600188 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥17.97) versus Growth DCF (¥0.1400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited engages in the mining and sale of coal in the People's Republic of China, Australia, and internationally. It operates through Coal Mining; Smart Logistics; Coal Chemical, Electricity and Heat Supply; and Equipment Manufacturing segments.
Full company description
Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited engages in the mining and sale of coal in the People's Republic of China, Australia, and internationally. It operates through Coal Mining; Smart Logistics; Coal Chemical, Electricity and Heat Supply; and Equipment Manufacturing segments. The company offers thermal, PCI, and coking coal; methanol, acetic acid, ethyl acetate, caprolactam, urea, ethylene glycol, naphtha, liquid paraffin, and crude liquid wax; coal mining and excavating equipment, cables, wires, cable accessories, and raw materials products; and chemicals, as well as involved in wholesale of petroleum and mineral products; and manufacturing of synthetic materials. It also engages in potash mineral exploration; electricity and heat supply; coal mining technology development, transfer, and consultation; finance leasing; leasing, trading, and commercial factoring; engineering; investment and asset management; educational software development; event planning; construction and production solar and wind power; providing railway, river, and lakes transportation; commercial; and logistics and transportation services. In addition, the company is involved in coal resource exploration development; port infrastructure construction; production and sales of mining equipment, electromechanical equipment, and rubber products; installation of mining equipment; coal and electrolytic copper trading; recycling of renewable resources; management of mineral resources, coal mining, and washing; operation of power generation; bonded area trade and warehousing; manufacturing of chemical products; and manufacturing of other metal processing machinery. The company was formerly known as Yanzhou Coal Mining Company Limited and changed its name to Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited in December 2021. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Zoucheng, the People's Republic of China. Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Shan Dong Energy Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Yankuang Energy Group reported revenue of ¥144B in FY2025 versus ¥152B in FY2021, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥9.0B in FY2025, compounding −13.7%/yr from FY2021.
600188 screens 38% overvalued. Compare with China Shenhua Energy Company →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited Sponsored ADR (YZCAY) Stock Undervalued Right Now?
- Should Value Investors Buy Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited Sponsored ADR (YZCAY) Stock?
- Is It Too Late To Consider Yankuang Energy Group (SEHK:1171) After Its 98.7% One-Year Surge?
Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 101 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥42.65 | ¥34.97 | -18% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹3,157 | ₹901.17 | -71% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥24.30 | ¥23.90 | -2% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹427.65 | ₹464.01 | +9% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥12.54 | ¥13.97 | +11% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥25.13 | ¥21.99 | -12% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥15.36 | ¥8.42 | -45% |
| PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, ADRO | 2,490 IDR | 3,220 IDR | +29% |
| PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, CUAN | 630.00 IDR | 360.72 IDR | -43% |
| PT Adaro Andalan Indonesia Tbk AADI | 8,425 IDR | 15,951 IDR | +89% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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