China Coal Energy Company (601898) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CN · Market cap 166B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from ¥20.32 to ¥13.97 (−31.3%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +7.9% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (¥9.98 to ¥20.78) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.17 – ¥19.36 · fair‑value band ¥9.98 – ¥20.78 · the ¥14.20 price screens above the ¥13.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
China Coal Energy Company (601898) currently trades at ¥14.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.97, implying the stock looks roughly 1.6% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Coal Energy Company generated revenue of 144B CNY at a net margin of 12.3%. Revenue declined 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at 76.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥9.98 (bear case) to ¥20.78 (bull case); at ¥14.20, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -2%, 601898 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥24.98) versus Dividend Discount (¥5.82). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Coal Energy Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of coal in China and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Coal, Coal Chemical, Coal Mining Equipment, and Finance.
Full company description
China Coal Energy Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of coal in China and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Coal, Coal Chemical, Coal Mining Equipment, and Finance. It offers thermal and coking coal products; polyolefin, methanol, urea, and ammonium nitrate; and coal mining machinery and equipment. The company also engages in financial activities; thermal power generation; aluminum processing; import of equipment and related parts; bidding services; iron ore business; road transportation; and waste disposal. It exports its products. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. China Coal Energy Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of China National Coal Group Corporation.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Coal Energy Company reported revenue of ¥147B in FY2025 versus ¥240B in FY2021, a compound −11.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥17.9B in FY2025, compounding +6.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 101 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥42.65 | ¥34.97 | -18% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹3,157 | ₹901.17 | -71% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥24.30 | ¥23.90 | -2% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥20.23 | ¥13.24 | -35% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹427.65 | ₹464.01 | +9% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥25.13 | ¥21.99 | -12% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥15.36 | ¥8.42 | -45% |
| PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, ADRO | 2,490 IDR | 3,220 IDR | +29% |
| PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, CUAN | 630.00 IDR | 360.72 IDR | -43% |
| PT Adaro Andalan Indonesia Tbk AADI | 8,425 IDR | 15,951 IDR | +89% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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