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Shaanxi Coal Industry Company (601225) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · CN · Market cap 236B CNY

SC Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 · SHG
Price¥24.88
Fair Value¥23.90
Upside-3.9%
Quality61/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.97% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥17.92 – ¥33.00 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +8.8% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥17.92 to ¥33.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥27.81 ¥8.13 Fair Value ¥23.90 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.13 – ¥27.81 · fair‑value band ¥17.92 – ¥33.00 · the ¥24.88 price screens above the ¥23.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Shaanxi Coal Industry Company (601225) currently trades at ¥24.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥23.90, implying the stock looks roughly 3.9% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shaanxi Coal Industry Company generated revenue of 157B CNY at a net margin of 10.3%. Revenue declined 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 13.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥17.92 (bear case) to ¥33.00 (bull case); at ¥24.88, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -4%, 601225 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥26.73 ¥47.29 ¥84.39 80
Residual Income ¥13.44 ¥15.73 ¥27.13 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥28.72 ¥50.34 ¥78.25 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥26.84 ¥48.85 ¥88.95 38
Owner Earnings ¥19.13 ¥34.52 ¥62.55 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥28.72 ¥51.04 ¥81.60 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥38.60 ¥71.43 ¥113.01 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥25.52 ¥44.44 ¥66.05 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥26.92 ¥48.30 ¥81.52 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥34.65 ¥63.59 ¥108.43 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥25.77 ¥43.35 ¥68.19 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥11.61 ¥53.87 ¥74.00 54
Lynch FV ¥14.21 ¥20.29 ¥26.38 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥14.21 ¥20.29 ¥26.38 46
EPV ¥18.54 ¥21.59 ¥24.30 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥12.87 ¥28.11 ¥47.29 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥12.87 ¥23.02 ¥29.29 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥25.60 ¥34.14 ¥42.67 63
P/S Multiple ¥21.76 ¥29.02 ¥36.27 58
P/B Multiple ¥21.76 ¥29.02 ¥36.27 55
EV/EBIT ¥46.50 ¥61.59 ¥76.68 53
EV/EBITDA ¥47.24 ¥62.58 ¥77.92 54
EV/Revenue ¥29.79 ¥42.03 ¥54.26 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥7.11 ¥9.52 ¥14.21 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥26.73 ¥47.29 ¥84.39 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥28.72 ¥50.34 ¥78.25 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥13.44 ¥15.73 ¥27.13 76
ROIC Compounder ¥20.46 ¥28.20 ¥39.30 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥22.06 ¥31.51 ¥40.97 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥48.30) versus Asset-Based (¥9.52). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 157B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.0%
Net margin 10.3%
Return on equity 18.5%
Free cash flow 18.2B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 16.3
More key figures
Operating margin 20.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.67
Dividend yield 3.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -12.4%
Net cash 13.6B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 13
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 66
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shaanxi Coal Industry Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sales of coal and electricity in China and internationally. The company's coal properties are primarily located in Northern Shaanxi, Weibei, and Binhuang. Its coal products are mainly used in the power, chemical, and metallurgical industries.

Full company description

Shaanxi Coal Industry Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sales of coal and electricity in China and internationally. The company's coal properties are primarily located in Northern Shaanxi, Weibei, and Binhuang. Its coal products are mainly used in the power, chemical, and metallurgical industries. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Xi'an, China. Shaanxi Coal Industry Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry Group Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shaanxi Coal Industry Company reported revenue of ¥158B in FY2025 versus ¥152B in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥16.5B in FY2025, compounding −6.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
158B CNY
Latest YoY
−14.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+15.3%
Revenue +1.0%/yr
FY21 ¥152B
FY22 ¥167B
FY23 ¥181B
FY24 ¥184B
FY25 ¥158B
Net income −6.2%/yr
FY21 ¥21.4B
FY22 ¥35.2B
FY23 ¥23.1B
FY24 ¥22.4B
FY25 ¥16.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shaanxi Coal Industry Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601225

Peer Group

Thermal Coal · 101 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −4% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.14× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.71× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.50× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 28 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 74 · sector 21
HEALTH 93 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 79 · sector 27

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shaanxi Coal Industry Company (601225) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥23.90 versus a price of ¥24.88, about −4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 601225?
Our model-based fair value for Shaanxi Coal Industry Company is ¥23.90 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥24.88.
What is the quality score of 601225?
Shaanxi Coal Industry Company has a Quality Score of 61/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shaanxi Coal Industry Company (601225)?
Shaanxi Coal Industry Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 157B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601225?
The net profit margin of Shaanxi Coal Industry Company is about 10.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shaanxi Coal Industry Company pay a dividend?
Shaanxi Coal Industry Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.46% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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