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Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership ILS 1.75, price ILS 2.18, upside -19.9%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · Il · ISIN IL0003450173

ME Thin data Oct 4, 2026

Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership

MDIN · TA

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

Generates free cash flow
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +67.0 %/yr in ILA)
Fair value 1.75 ILA · Overvalued (−19.9%)
Quality 28/100
Loss-making · -76.3% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (0/12)
Narrow moat 9/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

7.92 ILA 0.6620 ILA Fair Value 1.75 ILA May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.6620 ILA – 7.92 ILA · fair‑value band 1.22 ILA – 2.28 ILA · the 2.18 ILA price screens above the 1.75 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas assets in the United States and Israel. It primarily holds 50% interest in the North Park Basin Colorado project, covering 1,000 acres located in the United States.

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Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas assets in the United States and Israel. It primarily holds 50% interest in the North Park Basin Colorado project, covering 1,000 acres located in the United States. Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

Stock analysis

Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN) currently trades at 2.18 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.75 ILA, 19.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 1.87 ILA per share, and 3 of the 15 models we run sit above the 2.18 ILA price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.2900 ILA, and 12 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 1.22 ILA (bear) to 2.28 ILA (bull), the price of 2.18 ILA sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership reported revenue of 22.4M ILA in FY2025 versus 17.6M ILA in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was −10.6M ILA in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 151M ILA · P/S ratio 8.98 · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin −47.2% · Return on equity −30.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.8% · Operating margin −20.2% · Revenue (TTM) 16.9M ILA.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 230% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −20%, MDIN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1.22 ILA Fair Value 1.75 ILA Bull 2.28 ILA
Price 2.18 ILA · Upside -19.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 2.23 ILA 3.31 ILA 6.67 ILA 72
5Y EBITDA Exit 1.13 ILA 1.56 ILA 2.40 ILA 70
EPV 0.3100 ILA 0.3300 ILA 0.3400 ILA 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2.23 ILA 3.31 ILA 6.67 ILA 72
5Y Revenue Exit 0.8800 ILA 1.05 ILA 1.38 ILA 69
5Y EBITDA Exit 1.13 ILA 1.56 ILA 2.40 ILA 70
10Y Revenue Exit 1.29 ILA 1.87 ILA 2.03 ILA 64
10Y EBITDA Exit 1.48 ILA 2.41 ILA 3.84 ILA 62
Earnings-Based
EPV 0.3100 ILA 0.3300 ILA 0.3400 ILA 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.0100 ILA 0.0100 ILA 0.0200 ILA 64
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0100 ILA 0.0100 ILA 0.0100 ILA 65
Multiples
EV/EBIT 0.3100 ILA 0.3300 ILA 0.3600 ILA 63
EV/EBITDA 0.6700 ILA 0.8200 ILA 0.9700 ILA 64
EV/Revenue 0.3200 ILA 0.3600 ILA 0.4000 ILA 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2200 ILA 0.2900 ILA 0.4300 ILA 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2.11 ILA 3.81 ILA 6.54 ILA 70
Rev-Margin DCF 0.9300 ILA 1.17 ILA 1.71 ILA 68
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 0.3100 ILA 0.3300 ILA 0.3400 ILA 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 94
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 12
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+67.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+106.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−349.0% (2020) → 3.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+34.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +32.2% a year for the price.

MDIN screens overvalued: fair value 20% below the price. Compare with ConocoPhillips explores for, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 279 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −19.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −1.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −76.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −20.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.65× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.94× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 48.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 12.0× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)7 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 84
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)1 · sector 69

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

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ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $127.06 $91.42 −28%
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.40 HK$39.91 +71%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $48.44 $53.28 +10%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $137.76 $165.02 +20%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $57.84 $33.18 −43%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $47.65 $52.42 +10%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $184.71 $243.76 +32%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.24 A$24.14 −23%
EQT Corporation EQT $50.09 $55.10 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $336.46 $317.06 −6%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MDIN

Frequently asked questions

Is Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.75 ILA versus a price of 2.18 ILA, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MDIN?
Our model-based fair value for Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership is 1.75 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.18 ILA.
What is the quality score of MDIN?
Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.75 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.22 ILA, optimistic scenario 2.28 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.75 ILA, about −20% upside versus a price of 2.18 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.22 ILA, optimistic scenario 2.28 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN)?
Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 16.9M ILS (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
Does Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership pay a dividend?
Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.03% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership would have to grow free cash flow by +34.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +67.0 % per year. As of Oct 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MDIN use?
Our models discount Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.79, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership that is +34.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership grew +67.0 % a year. The price currently implies +34.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (+34.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.28 %: that much free cash flow Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership it is 1.75 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 2.18 ILA. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, MDIN trades above its calculated fair value: price 2.18 ILA, fair value 1.75 ILA, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MDIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.18 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.75 ILA). For Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership the two are 0.4340 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership worth?
The market values Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership at about 151M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 2.18 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 1.75 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MDIN?
Our models span a range for Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership: cautious scenario 1.22 ILA, base 1.75 ILA, optimistic 2.28 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 2.18 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −30.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MDIN from its 52-week high?
Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership trades at 2.18 ILA, about 1% below its 52-week high of 2.20 ILA and 230% above the low of 0.6620 ILA (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.75 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 2.18 ILA, calculated fair value 1.75 ILA (−20%), Quality Score 28/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MDIN calculated?
We run Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.75 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was 2.18 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 1.75 ILA, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership right now?
Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (1.22 ILA to 2.28 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership

How large is the market capitalisation of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN)?
The market capitalisation of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership is 151M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership is 8.98 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN)?
The dividend yield of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership is 0.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN)?
The net margin of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership is −47.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership is −30.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership is 2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN)?
The operating margin of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership is −20.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN)?
Revenue at Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership is growing −2.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN)?
Earnings per share at Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership are growing −95.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership (MDIN) carry?
The net debt of Modiin Energy-Limited Partnership is 67.0M ILA (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 66.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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